Bill Curry of ESPN.com goes against the grain in picking USC to fall short of its third consecutive national title.
To give Curry credit, his is probably the most well-thought-out piece on why USC may not win again. Most others who say so merely resort to vague generalities and can’t support their stand with specific reasons.
That said, there are a few things I disagree with Curry on in particular. On a few more, he’s really reaching.
Do I even need to comment on the silly caption on the ESPN front page, underneath a photo of Matt Leinart with a towel over his head?
Photos like this of Matt Leinart could thwart USC’s threepeat.
Boy, talk about a reach. Is this what we’ve come to in college football analsyis? But there’s more:
On the unprecedented fame accorded the Trojans as manifested in a plethora of magazine covers:
The words scream off the pages of preseason publications. They ooze into the unconscious minds of the teenaged males in cardinal and gold, blur their focus, and corrode the fierce spirits within — eventually surfacing during games at the least propitious moments.
That would seem to be true. Except there was a lot of hype last year for players like Leinart and Cody. There was the distraction of Mike Williams leaving and the rape allegations in camp of Hershel Dennis. But none of that affected the Trojans then. Why would it affect them now?
One year ago the Trojans had a chip on their shoulder. In their minds, they had been cheated out of half the national championship by a flawed system. They were being told they could not overcome the loss of key receivers Mike Williams and Keary Colbert. Leinert had arm problems and played poorly in the early going. All of the above served to keep people’s minds on their business.
On the contrary, they were the PRESEASON NO. 1 team. That means that the same issues the Trojans face this year–being the target of every team, for instance–was there last year. And when you are Preseason No. 1, that means you have respect from people who follow college football.
Clearly, plenty of people figured USC would overcome its losses on offense and they were right.
Writes in Riley Hayes from Los Angeles:
Curry contradicts himself at the start, saying this USC team isn’t hungry like last year’s, that people said they couldn’t overcome the loss of Colbert and Williams and they had something to prove, while ignoring the fact that he (and many others) are flogging the defense…wouldn’t that same defense have the same “something to prove” attitude the offense had last year? And his two scenarious are totally random. If you’re down 1 with 2:02 to go w/o no time outs, you’re probably screwed anyway.
That’s a good point and one that I think people are overlooking. It could very well be that USC gets beat. I think the Oregon game and the Cal game are the most likely spots (not ASU–Carroll has Koetter figured out).
BUT, until they actually DO get beat or are suffering from major issues, I don’t think it is enough to just say ‘Oh, they won’t do it because someone will beat them.’
Give me the WHO and give me the WHEN.
Who will beat them? I’m not convinced anyone can right now.
Update: It appears Curry HAS given the WHO and the WHEN right here.
Which begs the question: If he thinks Texas is going to beat USC, why didn’t he just say so?






