Archive | October, 2005

Is A Heisman Moment Necessary?

All Things Longhorn declared that Vince Young’s magnificent 80-yard TD run after the pump fake was a ‘Heisman Moment’ that may propel the Texas QB to the trophy.

I’m not here to debate the merits of the play. It really was a great play. I’d just like to clear up this notion that a player needs a ‘moment’ to win the Heisman.

To refute that, let’s just look at the two most recent Heisman winners.

Jason White won the award in 2003. Does anyone remember a ‘moment’ where he ‘won’ the award? I sure don’t.

And the closest thing Matt Leinart had to a ‘moment’ occurred when he was a sophomore the year prior–the TD reception off a reverse from Mike Williams in the 2004 Rose Bowl.

Did Chris Weinke have a moment? Nope.

How about Ron Dayne? Danny Weurffel? Gino Toretta?

Nope. Nope. Nope.

Sure, a ‘moment’ certainly can’t hurt. Eric Crouch caught his touchdown pass. Tim Brown had his punt returns, as did Desmond Howard and Charles Woodson.

If anyone has had a ‘moment’ this season, it’s probably been Reggie Bush, who had two or three huge ‘moments’ against Notre Dame in the most watched college football game of the century.

And here’s where we get to it: Have a moment against Notre Dame when everyone is watching and you probably win the Heisman. Do it against Oklahoma State and people’s eyes glaze over.

That’s the difference in the race right now.

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Michigan Finally Wins One

Unable to do anything of note on the football field, the Michigan Wolverines have been chosen ‘best-dressed team’ by the folks at SI On Campus.

Congratulations to Michigan fans! At least they know their team looks good when it blows a game.

Michael Westbrook couldn’t help but notice how nice Michigan’s uniforms were as he caught the game-winning pass

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The HP Top Candidates For The Heisman

Here at HP, we look at the Heisman race how it is, not how we think it should be. We also rank our candidates based on who has the best chance at actually winning. That said, we believe there are only two candidates left who can win the Heisman and those two remain unchanged from last week:

1. Reggie Bush, USC–Bush had 97 yards on 17 carries and another 40 yards on four catches against Washington State. Not a standout game, but as I said before, the next few games are going to be out of the spotlight for Heisman voters, since neither USC nor Texas plays anyone of note. As a result, nothing statistically–good or bad–is really going to stick out much during this time. This is an advantage for Bush, since he is the front runner. On the season, Bush leads the nation in all-purpose yardage with 1,578 yards. He has 909 rushing yards (averaging 8.2 ypc) and has caught 23 passes. He has scored 13 touchdowns in all, including one on a punt return. He is on pace to have 1,368 rushing yards, 36 receptions, 20 touchdowns and 2,400 all-purpose yard by the time the Heisman vote ends.

2. Vince Young, Texas–Young has separated from Matt Leinart as the quarterback most likely to win the Heisman. He had a monster game against Oklahoma State, with 239 yards passing and 267 rushing yards and four total touchdowns to lead the comeback win. Unfortunately, as good as the performance was, it will not be enough to take over as the front runner, since the bulk of voters didn’t see the game and have no idea that Young put up those kind of numbers. That doesn’t mean that the media who do pay attention haven’t noticed, as the ESPN Heisman poll now has Young with a slight lead. But that poll isn’t made up entirely of Heisman voters. The real voters have pretty much figured out by now that both Bush and Young are special players; they saw all they needed to see early in the season when Texas played Ohio State and USC played Notre Dame. They won’t tune in again until the end, when Young is in the Big 12 Title game and Bush goes up against UCLA. If anything can happen to change the dynamics of the race, it will be then. On the year, Young has 1,835 yards passing with 16 TDs and 8 interceptions. His efficiency rating is 163.65. He also has 725 rushing yards and 8 more TDs. He is on pace by Heisman voting time to have 2,800 yards in the air and 24 TDs passes, with another 1,100 yards and 12 TDs on the ground.

This week will be another status quo week for the Heisman race. Bush and USC play Stanford, Young and Texas play Baylor. No one will be watching. Unless something crazy happens, nothing these two players do this week–good or bad–is going to have much bearing on the Heisman race.

Here’s how the Heisman voting would go if it were held today:

1. Reggie Bush
2. Vince Young
3. Matt Leinart
4. Brady Quinn
5. Maurice Drew
6. Drew Olson
7. Brian Calhoun
8. Marcus Vick
9. Laurence Maroney
10. DeAngelo Williams

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The HP Top 10 Teams List

Here’s the HP Top 10 teams for the week of Oct. 31:

1. USC (8-0)–Ho hum, another 700-yard-plus effort on offense, but the defense shut down one of the best offenses in the country. They’ll play Stanford this week before heading to Cal.

2. Virginia Tech (8-0)–Impressive win over Boston College only confirms that they’d be the best matchup for USC. Marcus Vick has really become a good passer. They should have no problem with Miami.

3. Texas (8-0)–Started to read their press clipping a bit in falling behind to Oklahoma State, 28-9, but recovered in plenty of time as Vince Young had over 500 yards of total offense. Will play an improved Baylor squad this week.

4. UCLA (8-0)–Another improbably comeback, this time against Stanford. They are the polar opposite of Alabama, eking out wins with offense, while the Tide ekes out wins with defense.

5. Alabama (8-0)–Improved their offense’s statistics with a 35-3 win over Utah State. They’ll play MSU this week, then will host LSU.

6. Notre Dame (5-2)–Had off last week, should destroy Tennessee this week.

7. Penn State (8-1)–Took care of Purdue and will now face Wisconsin in battle for Big Ten supremacy.

8. Miami (6-1)–This is a very uneven team, with Kyle Wright still not showing much improvement at the quarterback spot. That doesn’t bode well for a night showdown with Va. Tech on Saturday.

9. Georgia (7-1)–Obviously much better with Shockley; his injury really screwed up the Dawg’s season.

10. Wisconsin (8-1)–They just keep winning, but may have problems in Happy Valley on Saturday.

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The Round Up

Here’s some random thoughts on some of the goings-on in the Heisman race and college football:

–I said last week that for the vast majority of the Heisman voters, the perception of the race for the trophy–Reggie Bush leading, with Vince Young in second–will be frozen until the last game or two of the season. That’s because the voters mainly tuned into two games in the first half of the year–Texas vs. Ohio State and USC vs. Notre Dame–and formed their opinions on those games. That, of course, is not true for the much smaller group of voters who are working media and thus more attuned to what’s going on in the race. You’ll see them make swings in their opinions on a weekly basis, only it won’t really be representative of what’s going on in the race. Right now, despite Vince Young’s huge day on Saturday, Reggie Bush still leads for the Heisman (I’ll have my complete analysis up later). Why? Because very few voters watched the Texas-OSU game (sorry ATL, to have a Heisman moment, people must be watching) and very few watched the USC-WSU game. Even fewer look at the box scores very closely on Sunday. Expect a little tightening in the Scripps Howard Poll on Tuesday, though.

Despite running for about 900 yards on Saturday, Vince Young is still second in the Heisman race

–Sorry, Bruinsnation, but Drew Olson needs a couple more big weeks leading into the USC game to draw consideration as a serious Heisman candidate (if you want to argue with someone, argue with this joker). Let’s be clear: Barring extremely unlikely circumstances, Olson is NOT going to win the Heisman. Maurice Drew has a better shot, but his chance is super slim as well. If things were looking up for this duo right now, you’d hear a lot of buzz about their candidacies among the talking heads. While the great UCLA comeback was covered extensively, I saw no talk about the two Bruin candidates from anyone in the national television media. This is an indication of the lack of buzz they are generating despite their team’s success. They need someone to trumpet their cause on national television and it’s not happening…yet. This much we know: The top three–barring injury or unexpected collapses–will be a variation on Reggie Bush, Vince Young and Matt Leinart. A fourth will get invited to New York, most likely Brady Quinn, though that is not necessarily a foregone conclusion. That leaves Olson and Drew to duke it out for fourth or fifth place. What happens if UCLA beats USC? Well, then Vince Young wins the Heisman. What happens if USC and Texas both lose? Then Reggie Bush probably wins by default, since voters will not be sure which Bruin to vote for and will split things up. Basically, UCLA should just be happy it is 8-0 right now…see how all this Heisman talk can be distracting? Almost cost them a game. Almost didn’t hold up their end of the bargain.

–Check out this good piece by Dick Weiss of the New York Daily News on Vince Young.

–I guess I was wrong about Florida crushing the SEC with its spread offense. Turns out you can be very successful in that league without an offense. Makes you wonder what will happen when the Gators figure out Meyer’s system.

–How bad are the computers used by the BCS? Well, besides most of them not even making their formulas public–which is a joke and one of the main gripes I have with the BCS–how about the stupidity of this week’s Colley Rankings? Does anyone here think Oklahoma and Colorado are better than Notre Dame? That Penn State is better than USC? This particular computer poll should be eliminated immediately.

–Gang of Six Update (with Notre Dame now substituted for Utah, as I mentioned before): Combined record of 36-10, four ranked teams. Average points per game: 39. Average yards per game: 476. Easy verdict: Without the offensive styles these teams run, they wouldn’t be having as much success as they’ve had this season. Note: Some people still don’t understand the concept….but for some reason they just can’t let go, can they? They still keep reading, don’t they? I guess it takes their minds off of their hopeless teams.

–Now that Texas and UCLA had scares, can we now have no more ‘Virginia Tech wuz robbed’ columns written until the season is over? There are still games to be played and nothing is a foregone conclusion. Ivan Maisel agrees.

–Funny thing that came up in Maisel’s piece, though. It’s this notion that it’s especially hard for an SEC team to go undefeated. And so two quotes came:

“It’s darn near impossible, especially in a conference like the SEC,” said Urban Meyer.

“In this league?” Vince Dooley asked. “Real hard in this league. In the case of USC and Texas, you have to be really good in a conference that’s not as good. For Auburn to have done what they did last year, I don’t know if you’re going to have anybody do that.”

Sounds all well and good except that if Maisel had done his homework, he would know that in the last decade, an SEC team has gone undefeated through the regular season four times. That’s more than the Pac-10 (2 times), the ACC (2 times), the Big East (2 times) and the Big Ten (2 times) and the same as the Big 12. So, I grant you that it is hard to go undefeated in college football, but apparently, there are two conferences in which the task is a little easier.

The venerable Vince Dooley, one of several men to coach an undefeated SEC team

–Um, why are a one-loss Miami team and a one-loss LSU team ranked ahead of an undefeated UCLA team? When will the national media write about the unfairness of that? Who, exactly, has Miami beaten? Its best accomplishment thus far is losing to an FSU team that could barely complete a pass at the time. And LSU lost at home to a Tennessee team that is about to go to 3-5 and needed an Early Doucet dropped touchdown catch to beat ASU. UCLA isn’t the best team by any means, but they are undefeated in what is probably one of the top two conferences in the country this season. That should be worth something. Instead, it just smells of more East Coast bias.

–USC looks like it has solved its defensive issues. Not that they were ever as bad as people thought in the first place. The Trojans allowed just 85 passing yards to a Washington State team that was averaging 302 yards coming in. It looks like the window of opportunity to beat the Trojans may have been missed, since Pete Carroll teams have never lost a regular season game after October.

–Based on the way Miami played in the first half against North Carolina, it looked like the Hurricanes were just as repulsed by their throw-back uniforms as the rest of us were.

–Just imagine if Brent Schaeffer hadn’t transferred from Tennessee. Then, Phil Fulmer could have wowed us with a three-quarterback system.

The ideal Phil Fulmer quarterback

–Minnesota had nearly 600 yards of offense against Ohio State. So do the Buckeyes ‘play no defense’ all of sudden? No. Of course not. They have a very good defense. It is just very hard to stop a great offense like Minnesota’s when it is clicking. It’s even harder to stop great offenses when you have to play so many of them, like defenses in the Pac-10 must do. And of course, it’s easy to look good defensively when you never play good offenses, like teams in the SEC do. But it’s even easier to play lousy defense and lousy offense, which is what Michigan does.

–Nah, Al Borges’ offense had nothing to do with Auburn’s turnaround last year. Let’s see, he lost three first-round picks and yet the Tigers still lead the SEC in total offense and scoring in 2005. His offense is the only one in the league that doesn’t look like it got plucked out of a black-and-white newsreel. Nah, he had nothing at all to do with it.

–Boy, Penn State sure is missing freshman Derrick Williams. Since he’s been hurt, the Nittany Lions are averaging just 48 points and 472 yards per game. In all reality, folks, he wasn’t really tearing things up to begin with. He had 22 catches through seven games, with one TD catch and three TD rushes. Nice little player, but NOT worth the hype he was getting.

–Lastly, Happy Halloween from HP!

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Getting Ahead Of Ourselves

One lousy thing about the BCS is that the media loves to jump on the ‘one team is going to be left out in the cold’ element of the system and exploit it to no end.

This year, they’ve decided to prepare everyone for the inevitability that Virginia Tech will go undefeated and not get a shot at the Rose Bowl.

So, we get bad columns like this one, where a breathless Gregg Doyel writes:

Auburn 2004, Virginia Tech 2005, no difference. Not from here. Not if the season finishes the way it probably will finish. USC won’t lose again. Texas won’t. Virginia Tech probably won’t either. Then what? That’s the biggest flaw in the BCS formula: what to do with three undefeated teams from major conferences.

ESPN’s Pat Forde also weighs in here on the possibility, as a full one-third of the season remains to be played.

Look people. Let’s wait until the season is over until the bitching begins. As of right now, who’s to say that Virginia Tech will even go undefeated? Or that USC or Texas will, for that matter. There are still games to be played. The same people who didn’t foresee Texas taking over the top spot in the BCS (however temporarily) are now busy predicting what the computers will do in December. Even more disingenuous, they will proclaim loudly that Va. Tech is getting screwed, but you won’t see them writing columns encouraging poll voters to switch the Hokies to No. 2.

I’m not a huge fan of the BCS, but for crying out loud, it’s such a convenient whipping boy. Unless there is a playoff, it’s possible that a team will get screwed. And even then, a playoff would still exclude teams that would think they deserved to be in the playoff, creating even more screwing.

We already have a playoff. It’s called the regular season. There are polls set up to vote on who the best teams are. It’s subjective and imperfect, but it beats changing the college game into a mini-NFL.

So in the meantime, media, find something else to write about!

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The Onion Does Notre Dame

You can always count on The Onion for a laugh.

In this article, Notre Dame is the butt of their latest satire.

“I fully intend to be the primary architect of Notre Dame history’s return to prominence and relevance,” Weis said. “I inherited a program that had only won 11 national championships between 1924 and 2005. I promise you that, by this time next year, the Fighting Irish will have won at least 10 more in that same time period.”

And what Irish fan hasn’t dreamed this?:

The Oct. 15 victory of the Fighting Irish over #1 ranked USC, 27-31, is marred somewhat when Trojan Matt Leinart, who attempts to run the ball into the end zone in a last-second quarterback sneak, gets hit by the entire Notre Dame defense and is killed instantly as time runs out.

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