Well, I am limping to the season’s end. I went 6-7 last week, just my third losing week of the season–but third in the last four weeks. Overall, my record is 79-71-3 against the spread, or 53 per cent–still good enough to be in the black in Vegas, but down considerably from the 57-60 per cent range I was picking in the season’s first half. Maybe I can finish strong and somehow have a good bowl season.
On to the picks. All spreads courtesy of PinnacleSports.com.
Boston College (-3.5) at Miami–I don’t think the Canes have much to play for anymore. Looking at them last week against Virginia, it seems like they have pretty much given up on the season. BC still has a shot at the ACC title, so I think they will cover here. BC 23, Miami 10.
Texas A&M (+12.5) at Texas–The Aggies played the Longhorns much tougher last year, and that was a team with Vince Young. I think A&M will be able to keep this once close enough to cover, but that Colt McCoy will take over in the end. Texas 31, Texas A&M 21.
LSU (-1) at Arkansas–I really like how well Arkansas is playing and they seem to be on a roll, but now that the SEC West is won, I wonder if there might be a bit of a letdown here. LSU is very talented and can beat almost anyone on a given day. This might be one of those days. LSU 27, Arkansas 23.
West Virginia (-20.5) vs. South Florida–Now that the Mountaineers have that one loss out of the way, the floodgates of their offense have opened once again. USF is an underrated team, but I don’t think they can contain Slaton and White on the road. West Virginia 45, USF 14.
Oklahoma (-6) at Oklahoma State–The Sooner defense has turned into a magnificent unit and should have no problem shutting down the Cowboys here. I think OU finishes its season off strong with a solid win. OU 24, OSU 7.
Florida State (+9) vs. Florida–Urban Meyer committed the cardinal sin of complaining about the BCS before completing the season. The punishment? A loss! Florida State 16, Florida 13. I also like the UNDER here (42 points).
San Jose State (-7) at Idaho–SJSU is an underrated team that is capable of playing with anyone in its league (see its close loss to Boise a couple weeks back). I think the Spartans will get the passing game going and win here. SJSU 38, Idaho 24.
BYU (-10) at Utah–The Cougars are back to their old ways, killing teams handily of late. They have a premier quarterback in John Beck and I think they’ll keep on rolling here. BYU 42, Utah 27.
Georgia Tech (+1.5) at Georgia–The Bulldogs looked to have some things solved in their win over Auburn, but I think Tech will be ready for them. Calvin Johnson has a big game and the Rambling Wreck win. Tech 23, Georgia 17.
Notre Dame (+7.5) at USC–I have picked against USC two weeks in a row. Why not make it three for three, eh? Seriously, though, this is a lot of points and Brady Quinn should be able to keep the Irish close enough to find a way to pull off the upset at the end. Notre Dame 20, USC 19.
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