There are six regions in the Heisman voting: Far West, Mid-Atlantic, Mid-West, North-East, South, Southwest.
The states are divided into the six sections accordingly:
Far West: AZ, CA, HI, ID, MT, ND, NV, OR, SD, UT, WA, WY
Mid Atlantic: DC, DE, MD, NC, NJ, PA, SC, VA, WV
Mid West: IA, IL, IN, MI, MN, OH, WI
North East: CT, MA, ME, NH, NYC, NY, RI, VT
South: AL, FL, GA, KY, LA, MS, TN
Southwest: AR, CO, KS, MO, NE, NM, OK, TX
How I think the voting for each section will unfold:
Comment: West Coast voters have seen McFadden twice against USC in recent seasons, but Tebow is a larger-than-life national star in the Matt Leinart vein. There is still strong residual support for Dixon.
Comment: This will be Pat White’s strongest region.
Comment: It’ll be close, but I think Midwest voters will go for the running back here.
Comment: The Northeast voters tend to gravitate toward the big names and flashy players. This was Brady Quinn’s strongest region last year and one of McFadden’s weakest.
1. Tebow or McFadden
Comment: This vote could go either way. McFadden is highly respected, but so is Tebow.
Comment: Daniel is a Texas native and this is Big 12 country. Many might vote for him here as protest for Missouri being left out of the BCS. Arkansas is on the border of this region so McFadden should take second.
Predicted Regions for Tebow: Far West, Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, possibly the South
Predicted Regions for McFadden: Midwest and possibly the South
Predicted Regions for Daniel: Southwest
Tebow will win enough regions to take the Heisman with plenty of votes to spare. I expect the final results to be akin to 1995, when Eddie George garnered 1,460 points to Tommie Frazier’s 1,196 and Danny Wuerffel’s 987.