Archive | August, 2008

Picking This Week’s Games

Time to get started picking this week’s games.  All lines are provided by MadduxSports.com .  Keep in mind that I’m not picking all the games, just the ones where I see a potential play.

Stanford (+3) vs. Oregon State– I like the Cardinal to not only cover this spread, but to win outright.  After all, Stanford doesn’t want its fans to demand their money back .

Stanford 31, Oregon State 24.

Missouri (-9) vs. Illinois– The focus of the Illini offense shifts from Mendenhall to the receiving game with Arrelious Benn and Jeff Cumberland , who is set to explode as player (mark it down).  Unfortunately, he’s hurt and may not play much in this game.  I look for Mizzou to pull away late to get the cover.

Missouri 35, Illinois 24

Virginia (+18.5) vs. USC– I think the Trojans have too many question marks on offense to cover this total.  Some defensive scores could do the trick, but I think USC grinds it out rather than blows it out.

USC 20, Virginia 9

Tennesee (-7.5) at UCLA– If the Bruins can keep their offensive line healthy, they might be a solid team by mid-season, but for now, they are in trouble against a very physical Vols team.  Crompton does well and Tennessee wins solidly.

Tennessee 31, UCLA 13

Wisconsin (-26.5) vs. Akron– The Badgers will roll from the getgo here and never look back.

Wisconsin 45, Akron 14

Utah (+3.5) at Michigan– Sorry Wolverines, but for the second-straight year, a team with a mobile quarterback is going to come in and beat you.  Except this time it won’t be an upset.  Rich Rod’s debut is spoiled.

Utah 27, Michigan 20

Oregon (-13) vs. Washington– Even though the Ducks lost presumptive starter Nate Costa, they’ll be going with Justin Roper, who has experience as a starter.  It’s at Autzen and Washington is really young at some key spots.  This one will get away from the Huskies in the third quarter.

Oregon 41, Washington 21

Tulsa (-13.5) at UAB– Paul Smith is gone, but David Johnson should fill in nicely.  Tulsa’s offensive machine gets going again.

Tulsa 45, UAB 24

Hawaii at Florida (70.5)– I like the over on this one as Florida should score at will and Hawaii will eventually get some things going against Gator scrubs.

Florida 63, Hawaii 20

Texas (-23.5) vs. Florida Atlantic– The Longhorns often underperform in games like this one, but I don’t think that’ll be the case here.  Colt McCoy has a nice start and the Longhorns romp.

Texas 52, FAU 10

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The Preseason Heismanpundit/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll


The inaugural Heismanpundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll of the 2008 college football season has been tallied and the panel–-consisting of 10 Heisman-voting members of the college football media–-has selected junior Florida quarterback Tim Tebow as the favorite to win this year’s Heisman Trophy.

Tebow–who is trying to become the second two-time winner of the award–collected five first-place votes and totaled 40 points to edge out junior Ohio State running back Chris ‘Beanie’ Wells (4 first-place votes, 36 points). Still, some voters appear skeptical of Tebow’s shot at repeating.

"In the end, I think Wells will win," said one panelist. "The Buckeyes will have the requisite gaudy win-loss record, Big Ten title and lofty poll ranking to augment Wells’ cause."

Missouri senior quarterback Chase Daniel also collected a first-place vote on his way to finishing third with 22 points, followed by West Virginia senior quarterback Pat White (20 points) and Georgia sophomore running back Knowshon Moreno (12 points).

This Week’s Poll with total points and first place votes (in parentheses):

1. Tim Tebow, QB, Florida, 40 (5)

2. Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State, 36 (4)

3. Chase Daniel, QB, Missouri, 22 (1)

4. Pat White, QB, West Virginia, 20

5. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia$ 12

6. Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech, 5

7. Graham Harrell, QB, Texas Tech, 4

8. Percy Harvin, WR/RB, Florida, 4

9. Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma, 3

10. James Laurinaitis, LB, Ohio State, 3

11. Armanti Edwards, QB, Appalachian State, 1

The Heismanpundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll is made up of 10 Heisman voters from across the country and will be conducted each week during the college football season. The idea is to get a good sense of voter sentiment as the season progresses. The panel votes for five players each week. Tabulations are made on a 5-4-3-2-1 basis, with five points for a first-place vote, four points for a second-place vote, three points for a third-place vote, two points for a fourth-place vote and one point for a fifth-place vote.

Members of the panel include: Mike Bianchi of the Orlando Sentinel, Olin Buchanan of Rivals.com, Tom Dienhart of Rivals.com, Bruce Feldman of ESPN.com, Ted Lewis of the New Orleans Times-Picayune, Jenni Carlson of The Oklahoman, Austin Murphy of Sports Illustrated, B.J. Schecter of Sports Illustrated, Stewart Mandel of Sports Illustrated and Dick Weiss of the New York Daily News.

Chris Huston, owner of Heismanpundit.com coordinates the weekly poll. Huston is a former assistant sports information director at USC who directed the successful Heisman campaigns of quarterbacks Carson Palmer and Matt Leinart.

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Brief ESPN Heisman Preview

Both Holtz and May agree that Beanie Wells is the favorite:

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The 2008 Preseason HP Heisman Watch

Here we go with the moment you have all been waiting for: The 2008 Heismanpundit.com Preseason Heisman Watch. There are a million Heisman lists written up every preseason, but this is the only one that matters!

Unlike a lot of Heisman watches, my preseason list is intended to determine which players have the best chance of actually winning the trophy at season’s end. If a player does not have a realistic shot at winning the Heisman, he is not on this list.

Therefore, the following ranking is NOT a prediction of the eventual order of the voting (so calm down Gator fans), but a gauge of the strengths of each of the top candidates based on The Ten Heismandments. Other players who are not on this list will get votes and finish high in the race but won’t win.  I will put out top 10 updates predicting the order of the vote from time to time, but this is not one of those times.

I can say with extreme confidence that the Heisman winner will come from the following group of players. THESE ARE THE GUYS WITH THE BEST CHANCE! Here we go:

1. Chris ‘Beanie’ Wells, Jr., RB., Ohio State–A perfect candidate. A top talent from a traditional power that will compete for a national title. Has the schedule and the name recognition to run away with this. His stiff arm could be more famous than the trophy’s by season’s end.

2. Chase Daniel, Sr., QB, Missouri–Outside of Tim Tebow, he’s the top returning vote getter from last season. Well-known quarterback playing in an exciting offense and an emerging program. Will put up big numbers once again and could win the Heisman if the Tigers make a serious title run.

3. Patrick White, Sr., QB, West Virginia–Might end up as one of the biggest winners in college football history. Dangerous runner who could win the Heisman if he can up his passing stats and lead his team to yet another 11-win season.

4. Stafon Johnson, Jr., RB, USC–The last seven USC tailbacks to top 1,400 rushing yards at some point in their careers have either won the Heisman or finished second in the voting. Johnson looks like he may break out from a crowded running back corps and have that kind of year.

5. Percy Harvin, Jr., WR/RB, Florida–Can do-it-all when healthy. He’ll benefit from Tebow’s exposure and the explosiveness of the Gators offense. If he gets 1,000 rushing and 1,000 receiving, look out.

6. Colt McCoy, Jr., QB, Texas–If he can regain his freshman year form, he could be a top contender. Has added more rushing yards to his repertoire, but must cut down on his interceptions.

7. Keiland Williams, Jr., RB, LSU–With the LSU quarterback position unsettled, look for the Tigers to lean on Williams in the early going. That could mean a hot start and a chance to emerge as a serious Heisman candidate.

8. Graham Harrell, Sr., QB, Texas Tech–To have a chance at the Heisman, he basically has to break every single-season passing record in existence while leading TTU to the Big 12 title and beyond. If anyone can do it….

9. Matt Stafford, Jr., QB, Georgia–A top pro prospect who has yet to put it together for a whole season. Plays in a system that doesn’t produce big numbers, but could still get attention based on his team’s success.

10. Marlon Lucky, Sr., RB, Nebraska–Once upon a time, the Nebraska I-back was a shoo-in Heisman contender. But Lucky won’t get a single vote unless Nebraska somehow revives under Bo Pelini. If that happens, Lucky will probably be seen as one of the main reasons why. And Heisman voters may take notice.

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Really, Miami?

I’m not just talking about the suspension of seven players for the opener against Charleston Southern.

I’m just asking: Why is Miami playing Charleston Southern in the first place? If the ‘Canes were playing Florida State, as in previous seasons, or any other team with a pulse, would seven players be sitting out?

Call me cynical, but I doubt it. Come on, Miami. I know times are tough, but you can find a better opening opponent!

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Costa Basically Done

Nate Costa , the heir apparent to Dennis Dixon, is out 8-10 weeks after re-injuring his knee.  This is a big blow to the Ducks and their ability to run Chip Kelly’s offense to its fullest extent.  Costa was a mobile QB in the mold of Dixon, but now Oregon must turn to Justin Roper , who was the fifth-string QB last year.  He did lead the Ducks to a romp over USF in their bowl game, but he isn’t as mobile as Costa.

Apparently, Roper had a good fall camp, so the Ducks aren’t in horrible shape heading into the opener against Washington.

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The Difference Right Now Between Wells and Moreno

I’ve seen a lot of magazines out there touting Knowshon Moreno as the best back in the country.  Don’t get me wrong, I think he’s great and tabbed him early last season as a special player.

But, the one flaw he seems to have in his game is lack of true breakaway speed.  He seems to get caught an awful lot in these highlights:

No matter, as he has other attributes that make him great.  But Beanie Wells has power plus some breakaway speed–despite being considerably larger–as shown by this clip:

Point being, I think Wells is the better of the two backs.  I’m not sure how anyone can say otherwise.

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