Archive | November, 2008

It’s Going To Be A Very Close Race

Sam Bradford came through big time against Oklahoma State, throwing for over 300 yards and 4 TDs (just the criteria I said he needed to reach).

Tim Tebow has steered his team to a mega-showdown with Alabama.

Colt McCoy has completed his season in impressive fashion.

I think both Bradford and Tebow will finish strong next Saturday. What of McCoy? How does he stay in the spotlight?

I think that there will be some talk of Texas getting the raw deal in the BCS. Will Heisman voters reward McCoy as a consolation? Quite possible.

As I wrote yesterday, though, there are still games to be played. If I had to guess, Bradford and McCoy would be very close in the voting right now, with Tebow not far behind. I have a feeling that Tebow will end up hurting Bradford’s candidacy more than McCoy’s.

Stay tuned.

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Tebow Has Spoken, Now It’s Up To Bradford

Tim Tebow threw for 185 yards and 3 touchdowns and added another 80 yards rushing with a score as the Gators killed Florida State, 45-15.

Not an overwhelming performance for Tebow–who only has five games over 200 yards passing this year–but enough to keep him in the Heisman conversation.

Now, it is Sam Bradford’s turn to make his case.   What does he have to do?

I’d say if he threw at least 4 TD passes and had over 300 yards passing in a Sooner win, Heisman voters would be pretty impressed.

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Rule No. 1: Never bitch about the BCS until all the games are played

Maybe we should wait until things pan about before we decide which team gets screwed.

I’m writing this at the half time of Texas Tech-Baylor and the Bears, led by frosh phenom QB Robert Griffin, are ahead, 21-14.

We’ve been seeing a lot of hyperventilating columns about the injustices of the BCS and the need for a playoff.  But the games aren’t even over.

If Baylor holds on, then Texas will go to the Big 12 title game regardless of what Oklahoma does today.  If that’s the case, will anyone complain that someone got screwed in the Big 12?  Would there be chaos, as critics like to predict?  Hardly.  You’d have the most deserving team (Texas) getting a chance to get to the BCS title game.  If Texas slips up against Missouri, then you’d see Oklahoma (the next most deserving team) get its shot.  Why is this so hard to understand?

The only teams that can make a case for being treated unfairly are Utah and Boise State, but then we knew going in that they couldn’t make it to the BCS title game.

Let’s see how it all pans out before we declare chaos, okay?

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Picking This Week’s Games

After going 70% over the previous two weeks, I went just 4-6 against the spread last week. On the year, I am 59-60. Here’s to finishing above .500:

UCLA (+9.5) at ASU–Both teams are trying to stay alive for a bowl bid, but I think UCLA is going to pull it out.

UCLA 24, ASU 23

Miami (-2) at NC State–Miami bounced back from last week’s debacle against GTU. Too much talent for NC State to overcome.

Miami 28, NC State 10

North Carolina (-8) at Duke–The Tar Heels finish strong against their rival.

UNC 34, Duke 14

Texas Tech (-21.5) vs. Baylor–Tech rebounds with a nice win here. Graham Harrell throws five TD passes.

Texas Tech 56, Baylor 21

Missouri (-16) vs. Kansas–Chase Daniel plays his last home game and goes out in style. Maclin gets a return TD.

Missouri 43, Kansas 21

Oklahoma State (+7.5) vs. Oklahoma–I think OSU keeps this one close but loses a heartbreaker in the end.

OU 31, OSU 27

Georgia Tech (+7.5) at Georgia–Tech’s attack stymies the Bulldogs for much of the day, but Matt Stafford pulls things out.

Georgia 31, Georgia Tech 24

Florida (-16.5) at Florida State–Florida State won’t be able to stop this offensive juggernaut.

Florida 52, Florida State 17

Oregon State (-3) vs. Oregon–The Beavers survive despite not having Quizz Rodgers.

Oregon State 26, Oregon 21

USC (-31.5) vs. Notre Dame–USC just runs over Notre Dame and stifles the Irish offense

USC 42, Notre Dame 7

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McCoy Comes Through

Colt McCoy had just the kind of game he needed to have to impress Heisman voters.

He was 23 of 28 for 311 yards, 2 touchdown passes, no interceptions, plus 49 yards rushing and 2 more touchdowns.

On the year, McCoy is 291 of 375 (77.6%) for 3,445 yards, with 32 touchdown passes and 7 interceptions.  His pass efficiency rating is a stellar 179.2.  He has also rushed for a team-leading 576 yards and 10 touchdowns.

McCoy is Texas’ all-time winning quarterback and has led the Longhorns to three wins over ranked teams this season, including Oklahoma on a neutral field.

Will it be enough to win the Heisman?  I think it will be but, in college football, it ain’t over until the last game has been played.

We’ll see what Sam Bradford does against Oklahoma State tomorrow and what Tim Tebow does against Florida State.

But right now, I like McCoy’s chances to win the 2008 Heisman.

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Can McCoy Clinch It vs. A&M?

Who knew the Texas-Texas A&M game would be so central to this season’s Heisman race?

This one could actually be a decider, though we may not realize it right away.

Colt McCoy was 2 seconds away from wrapping up the Heisman back on Nov. 1. Then Graham Harrell stole the spotlight for three weeks while McCoy lurked in the background.

Now, with Harrell out of the way, McCoy is back on the radar. Thursday’s game against Texas A&M could be his last chance to show Heisman voters what he is all about.

Can McCoy clinch the Heisman on Thursday? I think it is possible. Voters saw him perform brilliantly against three-straight highly-ranked foes back in October. They still remember that. But I think they need one last reminder of how good he has been this season.

Where should the bar be set?

Well, I think that if he completes over 70 percent of his passes in this game (and ends up above the NCAA record for completion percentage) and throws for 300-plus yards and at least three touchdowns (or perhaps totals 4 TDs running and passing), then he could very well make a permanent Heisman impression on the voters.

I don’t think voters feel compelled to vote for Tim Tebow the same way they did last season. A few seem to be unsure of Sam Bradford this season.

I think many feel that McCoy is the most deserving, but that a little clarity is needed before making the final decision. If McCoy provides that clarity to them on Thursday, he could bring a third Heisman back home to Austin.

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Bradford Takes Lead In Heismanpundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll

For release:  November 26, 2008

Bradford Takes Lead In Heismanpundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll

Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford is the latest Big 12 quarterback to take the lead in the Heismanpundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll, a weekly survey of Heisman voters from around the country.

Bradford tallied six first place votes and 45 total points to edge out Texas quarterback Colt McCoy (4 first place votes, 42 points).  Bradford, coming off a 304-yard, 4 TD performance against No. 2 Texas Tech, is the fourth Big 12 quarterback this season to top the poll.

“Right now, the race is too tough to call,” said one voter.  “I put Colt McCoy No. 1 because I think he’s the best all-around player of the Big 12 quarterbacks.  But watch out for Tim Tebow.  With two big games against Florida State and Alabama, he can repeat.”

The defending Heisman winner is third (27 points) followed by Texas Tech’s Graham Harrell (24 points) and Iowa running back Shonn Greene (7 points).

Heisman ballots have gone out to the 925 voters and are due back to the Heisman Trust by Wednesday, Dec. 10.  The winner will be announced on Saturday, Dec. 13.

This Week’s Heismanpundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll (first place votes in parentheses)

Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma–45 (6)

Colt McCoy, QB, Texas–42 (4)

Tim Tebow, QB, Florida–27

Graham Harrell, QB, Texas Tech–24

Shonn Greene, RB, Iowa–7

Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech–4

Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri–1

About the poll

The HeismanPundit.com/Orlando Sentinel Heisman Poll is made up of 10 Heisman voters from across the country. They vote for five players each week. Tabulations are made on a 5-4-3-2-1 basis, with five points awarded for a first-place vote, four points for a second-place vote and so on.

Members of the panel include: Mike Bianchi of the Orlando Sentinel, Olin Buchanan of Rivals.com, Jenni Carlson of The Oklahoman, Tom Dienhart of Rivals.com, Bruce Feldman of ESPN.com, J.B. Morris of ESPN the Magazine, Austin Murphy of Sports Illustrated, B.J. Schecter of Sports Illustrated, Stewart Mandel of Sports Illustrated and Dick Weiss of the New York Daily News.

Chris Huston, owner of Heismanpundit.com, coordinates the weekly poll.

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