Thoughts on the Draft

In my opinion, the NFL draft is the worst television event in sports.  It’s a complete waste of time but, hey, it’s April, so what else are you going to do?  Here are my thoughts on this year’s proceedings:

—Can we all agree that Mel Kiper and Todd McShay’s opinions should be taken for entertainment purposes only?  They are showmen.  Very little of what they say in the weeks and months leading up to the draft has any bearing in reality.  The draft is a very tricky thing and no one really knows how it is going to turn out.  What amazes me even more is these guys’ picks for the No. 1 prospect in 2010.  Kiper tabs Eric Berry, while McShay chooses Sam Bradford.  Now, look.  Those two are both excellent prospects and will be first round selections (in Berry’s case, a top five pick).  But a defensive back has never gone No. 1 in the draft and, if it does happen, I think is just as likely to be USC’s Taylor Mays–who has the other-worldly measurables the NFL craves–as Berry.  As for Bradford, I doubt he survives the scrutiny of the combine and evaluation process;  he is likely to be revealed as a system guy to many and the NFL loves to nitpick.  This will likely not prevent him from being a first rounder, but it will prevent him being taken first, in my opinion.

To me, it’s fairly obvious who will be the first player taken in the next draft.  It will be (barring injury) the guy who was the best player on the field in the BCS Title Game:  Sooner defensive tackle Gerald McCoy.

—We hear a lot about how many players don’t fit into NFL schemes because they play in the spread in college.  Well, wouldn’t it behoove the NFL to start playing more spread and get a quicker payout from the talent it drafts?  Oh, right.  Supposedly things like the spread and the, uh, Wildcat, don’t work in the NFL.  Just like the spread couldn’t work in the SEC and Urban Meyer was doomed to fail….hmmmm.

—First-Round Picks I Liked:  Mark Sanchez to the Jets. I think he made the right choice to come out early.  He’ll get $20 million over the next year and be in a major market.  And he’s a talent who will have a pretty decent team to work with, unlike Matt Stafford.   Andre Smith to the Bengals. There was a lot of talk by the usual suspects about how much he was dropping in the draft.  Yup, sure.  This guy is a great player and will do well, mansierre or not.  Michael Crabtree to the 49ers. He’s no J.J. Stokes.  He could become the face of this franchise one day.  Great pickup for the 49ers.  Percy Harvin to Minnesota. Harvin paired with Adrian Peterson will make this team as fun to watch as any in the league.  I might even have to tune in.

—Steal of the Draft:  Chris Wells to Arizona. The knock on him is that he isn’t durable.  But neither were Adrian Peterson or Cadillac Williams (both top 7 picks) when they were in college (and neither has been durable in the NFL).  Wells doesn’t catch the ball, but neither did Peterson or Williams, really.   Now, he’s not Peterson (who is?), but he’s better than Caddy.  He’ll be the featured runner in a boffo offense and he should shine right away.  My early pick for Rookie of the Year.

—The Worst Picks of the 1st round:  Darius Heyward-Bey by the Raiders.  But we all knew this.  He’s a shiney hood ornament for a lousy clunker of a franchise.  Tyson Jackson to the Chiefs. Good player, but not third-pick-of-the-draft good, methinks.  Jeremy Maclin to the Eagles. Seems a bit redundant with DeSean Jackson there already.  Although, he could be a good insurance policy in case MeSean strikes.

—USC has 21 picks the last two years and yet lost (in 2007) to a team (Stanford) that has zero picks that last two years.   The point:  Coaching matters.

About Heismanpundit

Chris Huston, A.K.A. ‘The Heisman Pundit‘, is a Heisman voter and the creator and publisher of Heismanpundit.com, a site dedicated to analysis of the Heisman Trophy and college football. Dubbed “the foremost authority on the Heisman” by Sports Illustrated, HP is regularly quoted or cited during football season in newspapers across the country. He is also a regular contributor on sports talk radio and television.

4 Responses to Thoughts on the Draft

  1. Ed Newman April 29, 2009 at 10:47 am #

    You’re right, the draft sucks. The endless hype and the boring telecast overshadow the only legitimate reasons to pay any attention at all: to see where your favorite player goes and to see which players your favorite team gets. They need to ban draft talk on TV and on the internet until the day before through the day after draft. That’s all it really deserves. Ten thousand mock drafts just make my head hurt.

    To be fair to The Hair, he usually projects the best player in the draft, not the one with the best chance to go number 1. You take the opposite approach here on the Heisman race.

    I agree that Beanie was a steal where they got him and if healthy he’ll be a 1000+ yd. rusher for the Cardinals next year. That’s a big if though.

    I know CA, TX, FL and GA are hotbeds of football talent, but did you notice how many of the first rounders hailed from NJ (22%)? Pretty good showing by the Garden State.

    And what does it say about the current CF landscape when Cincinnati has twice as many players drafted as Notre Dame, Florida State, and Miami combined? In fact, Miami had exactly as many players drafted as Miami (Oh).

  2. Dawgy May 4, 2009 at 7:35 am #

    “Oh, right. Supposedly things like the spread and the, uh, Wildcat, don’t work in the NFL. Just like the spread couldn’t work in the SEC and Urban Meyer was doomed to fail….hmmmm.”

    I’m not saying that Urban Meyers’ offense have not been a success. What I will point out is that in his (2) Championship years he had outstanding defensive teams. The 06 team averaged giving up 13.5 ppg and the 08 team 12.9 ppg. And, while the 08 offense averaged 43 ppg, the 06 team averaged only 29.7 ppg lower than both of the last (2) years of Ron Zook’s career at Florida. Just saying.

  3. CFR May 4, 2009 at 7:04 pm #

    Yeah but we all know the issues with that ’06 team offensively.

    They had a big, lumbering back as their only effective runner, and Chris Leak at quarterback. Neither an ideal fit at the very core of that offense.

    We’re seeing that system now the last few years with the appropriate kind of athletes in place.

  4. Dawgy May 6, 2009 at 6:28 am #

    Maybe but, one year doesn’t prove anything.

Leave a Reply