The HP Heisman Watch

Here is my latest list of players with the best shot of actually winning the Heisman.

1. Colt McCoy, Texas–McCoy didn’t have the greatest game against Texas Tech in front of a national television audience, but it’s going to take more than a couple early season interceptions to derail his Heisman run.  He was 24 of 34 for just 205 yards and one touchdown pass (with two interceptions) on Saturday.   On the season, he is 75 for 110 (68.2%) for 859 yards, with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.  He is on pace to throw for 3,436 yards and 24 touchdowns with 16 interceptions.  While his yardage numbers are good, he needs to pick up the pace with the touchdown passes and start cutting back on his picks.   

2. Jahvid Best, California–Best has very good momentum right now and his odds have gotten better as it looks like Cal could be the Pac-10 favorite .  Doesn’t hurt that he scored five touchdowns against Minnesota, either.  He rushed 26 times for 131 yards against the Gophers.  The one issue he has is his health, which reared its head against Minnesota as he was hobbled in the second half.  On the year, he has 412 rushing yards on 53 carries (7.8 ypc), 8 rushing touchdowns, plus 7 catches for 59 yards and another score.    He currently leads the nation in scoring.  He is on pace to rush for 1,648 yards and 32 touchdowns.  He needs to increase his rushing totals a bit, but obviously his scoring pace is astronomical right now.

3. Tim Tebow, Florida–To win that second Heisman, it’s going to take a season that is head and shoulders above the other candidates.  Tebow might have a hard time doing that if he keeps having games like he had against Tennessee.  He was 14 of 19 for 115 yards against Tennessee, with no touchdown passes, one interception, plus 76 yards on 24 carries and a touchdown.  On the year, he is 39 of 58 (67.2%) for 540 yards with five touchdowns and one interception.  He has also rushed for 148 yards on 39 carries and three more touchdowns.  He is on pace for 2,160 passing yards, 20 touchdown passes and four interceptions, along with another 600 rushing yards.  Those are nice numbers, but he’ll be hard-pressed to win the Heisman with them.

4. Daryll Clark, Penn State–Clark is humming along in the background in the Heisman race and it would take a major fall by all the other candidates for him to break through.  Last week, he threw for 167 yards on 16 of 26 passing with two touchdowns and one pick against Temple.  On the year, he is 65 of 97 (67%) for 760 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions.  He is on pace for 3,040 passing yards, 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.  As long as the Nittany Lions remain undefeated, he’ll stick around on this Watch.

5. Jacory Harris, Miami–Harris is the ultimate long shot in this race, as he has very little name recognition amongst rank and file Heisman voters.  He is really just hitting his stride as a starting quarterback and if he can keep it up and Miami keeps winning, he’ll start to get some recognition.  Last week against Georgia Tech, he was 20 of 25 for 270 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions.  On the year he is 41 of 59 (69.5%), for 656 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions.  His efficiency rating is a sterling 184.08.  He is on pace to throw for 3,936 yards with 30 touchdowns and 12 picks.  Those are obviously very good numbers and if he does it and Miami goes undefeated, he’s got an outside chance to win. 

Dropped out:  Max Hall, Joe McKnight, Jevan Snead, Dez Bryant

If the vote were held today

1. Colt McCoy

2. Jahvid Best

3. Tim Tebow

4. Daryll Clark

5. Case Keenum

6. Dez Bryant

7. Eric Berry

8. Jevan Snead

9. Tate Forcier

10. Jimmy Clausen

About Heismanpundit

Chris Huston, A.K.A. ‘The Heisman Pundit‘, is a Heisman voter and the creator and publisher of Heismanpundit.com, a site dedicated to analysis of the Heisman Trophy and college football. Dubbed “the foremost authority on the Heisman” by Sports Illustrated, HP is regularly quoted or cited during football season in newspapers across the country. He is also a regular contributor on sports talk radio and television.

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3 Responses to The HP Heisman Watch

  1. Ed Newman September 21, 2009 at 1:15 pm #

    I’m always intrigued by your “if the vote were held today” lists since they never seem to line up with your actual Heisman poll (at least as it relates to Tebow). Shouldn’t they? Isn’t your own poll the best indicator of “the vote today”. Why do you list an “if the vote were held today” list on the Watch if you’re just going to release a Heisman poll in another day or two?

  2. Perry September 21, 2009 at 6:52 pm #

    Tebow’s 2008 stats through 3 games:
    Passing: 38/64 (59%), 489 yards 5 tds 0 int
    Rushing: 33 for 118 yards

    Tebow’s 2009 stats through 3 games:
    Passing: 39/58 (67%), 540 yards, 5 tds, 1 int
    Rushing 39 for 148 yards, 3 tds

    It’s still early. Things will heat up.

  3. Choco September 24, 2009 at 10:08 am #

    Heisman pundit, are you saying who SHOULD win the Heimsan.. or who WILL win the Heisman based on bad judgement?

    Last season Tebow DIDN’T win the Heisman but clearly SHOULD have. It’s obvious the BIG12 STINKS. It was ONLY the BIG12 fans, media and the rest of the country overrating the BIG12 that led to someone in the BIG12 winning the Heisman. And Tebow lost the Heisman because he faces SEC defenses that are gameplanning for MONTHS prior to facing the Gators. Tebow’s numbers may have been poor but no one carried their team more than Tebow against Tennessee — arguably the far and away best defense in college football.

    If you are going to say who WILL win the Heisman based on poor judgment, why not try to explain WHY it is poor judgment and why it should be rectified?