Ugh, another abysmal week last week picking against the spread. I went just 3-7 and am now 16-23-1 on the year versus the line.
On a positive note, I feel really good about this week’s lines and think I can make up some ground. These are the games I think are the best picks of the week. Bettors: Listen to me at your own risk!
Stanford (-5) vs. UCLA–I really like the squad Jim Harbaugh has put together for Stanford. I think UCLA’s defense is going to be on the field for a long time and will eventually break under the physical pounding of Toby Gerhart.
Stanford 28, UCLA 14
Auburn (+2) at Tennessee–I couldn’t believe this line when I saw it. Maybe I’ve got something wrong with me, but I think the Tigers win this one easily. Even if Auburn’s offense struggles, it’s not like Tennessee is going to go crazy on offense, so at worst this one is close, but I like the Tigers to win solidly.
Auburn 31, Tennessee 17
Houston (-15) at UTEP–This was another line that struck me as being off. If Texas scored 64 on UTEP, Houston won’t be far behind. The improved Cougars defense shouldn’t have much problem either.
Houston 49, UTP 24
Alabama (-16) at Kentucky–The Tide slowly strangled Arkansas last week and will do the same here against Kentucky. The Tide is getting better and better on offense each week and should have no problems scoring.
Alabama 31, Kentucky 3
Miami (+7.5) vs. Oklahoma–I just don’t see this much-improved Miami team having the same issues it had last week on a wet field at Virginia Tech. Harris gets back on track and Miami gets the outright home win.
Miami 28, Oklahoma 23
Michigan (+2) at Michigan State–Once again, The Force will be with Michigan. The Wolverines will shore up their defense a bit and Forcier has another big game to lead Michigan to an outright win.
Michigan 34, Michigan State 22
North Carolina (-12.5) vs. Virginia–T.J. Yates bounces back after a tough outing last week and leads the Tar Heels to a nice win over the Cavs.
North Carolina 30, Virginia 16
Virginia Tech (-17) at Duke–No let down for the Hokies as they pound the Dukies into submission with their relentless ground game.
Virginia Tech 38, Duke 10
Washington (+12.5) at Notre Dame–I like the Irish to win, but the arm and feet of Jake Locker will make this one a bit uncomfortable at times for Clausen and Co.
Notre Dame 35, Washington 27
Penn State (-7) at Illinois–I thought Illinois was the one place where Zook could find some consistent success, but I was wrong. He has clearly lost control of this talented but wayward team. Penn State gets better in a hurry.
Penn State 42, Illinois 21