The Final HP Heisman Watch of 2009

It’s time for the final Heisman Watch of the 2009 college football season.  This post will attempt to figure out the current state of the race and try to project the outcome of the vote.  This is certainly as challenging a Heisman race as I have covered in my six seasons of running this site.

So let’s get started.

I begin with the strong belief that the top eight finalists in the Heisman vote will be (in no particular order):

Colt McCoy
Mark Ingram
Toby Gerhart
Tim Tebow
Ndamukong Suh
C.J. Spiller
Kellen Moore
Case Keenum

The ninth and 10th will likely be two out of Golden Tate, Jeremiah Masoli, Jacquizz Rodgers or Jimmy Clausen

Keep in mind there are 925 Heisman selectors, comprised of 145 voters in each of the six regions, plus 55 former winners.  These are the people who will decide the winner.

The task now is to eliminate those who can’t win, while figuring out how those who can and will win and why

With the season complete, there are only three players from the aforementioned list who can win the Heisman:

Colt McCoy
Mark Ingram
Toby Gerhart

Let’s look at each player and his pluses and minuses heading into Heisman week:

Toby Gerhart, Senior, Running Back, Stanford (8-4)
311 carries
1,736 yards
5.6 yards per carry
145 rushing yards per game
26 rushing touchdowns
1 touchdown pass
10 receptions
149 receiving yards

Gerhart remains the strongest candidate out West and with the splintering of the votes throughout the regions, he has an outside shot of pulling this one out.  He will do best among those who want to choose a standout running back for the Heisman, among those who don’t care about picking a player from a title-contending team and among those who hearken back to the days when big, bruising, blue-collar backs were the order of the day (think Steve Owens and John Cappalletti).  Being a senior helps, but playing for a non-traditional Heisman power such as Stanford hurts.  His statistics compare favorably with several past Heisman-winning running backs and, of course, his total touchdown figure would be among the tops in Heisman history.  He will do worst among those who prefer quarterbacks for the Heisman, among those who see Stanford’s 8-4 record as an issue and among those who don’t watch (or care to watch) much Pac-10 football.  It also doesn’t help that he did not play this past weekend while his Heisman competition did. 

Gerhart’s best shot of winning is if he captures the West region by a large margin, finishes a strong second in the Midwest and Northeast and then squeezes in a third-place finish in the Southwest. 

He has a chance to do well in the Midwest due to his manhandling of Notre Dame.  He could conceivably garner support in the Northeast due to his status as a star player for an elite academic institution (lots of former Ivy Leaguers in that region).  He might take third in the Southwest if voters from that region move to strategically keep players like Ingram or Tebow off their ballots.

Predicted Strongest Region:  Far West

Predicted Weakest Region: South

Predicted finish among the 55 Former Heisman winners: Second

Predicted Finish:  Wait for it…

Mark Ingram, Sophomore, Running Back, Alabama (13-0)
249 carries
1,542 rushing yards
6.2 yards per carry
119 rushing yards per game
15 rushing touchdowns
30 receptions
322 yards
3 receiving touchdowns

The Alabama sophomore running back came through with a big game against No. 1 Florida, rushing for 113 yards on 28 carries and three touchdowns.  He also added 76 yards on two catches, including a 65-yard catch and run that helped break the game open.  The question is:  Was it enough to catch McCoy?

By virtue of the Tide’s win over the Gators, Ingram is now the top candidate in the South and he should carry that region comfortably.  He will also fare well in the Midwest, as he hails from Flint, Mich.  Voters in the Northeast probably remember the days when his dad played for the New York Giants, so he could get some solid support there, too.   He will do best among those who want to pick a running back for the Heisman, among those who see him as the catalyst for the Tide’s No. 1 ranking and among those who most appreciate big performances against top-flight competition.  Playing for the No. 1 team is a boon to his candidacy, as is the fact that Alabama has never won a Heisman.  His main drawbacks are his sophomore status and his resulting lack of name recognition, plus his not-out-of-this-world stat sheet.  As it stands, his 1,542 rushing yards would be the fewest by a Heisman-winning running back at the time of the ceremony since Archie Griffin had just 1,357 in 1975. 

Ingram will win the South, though Tim Tebow will eat into his lead somewhat and prevent him from dominating the way Gerhart will in the West.  He should finish no worse than second in the Midwest and no worse than second in the Mid-Atlantic (C.J. Spiller’s support here is a wildcard).   His performance in the Northeast could determine his Heisman fate, as he will do poorly in both the West and Southwest. 

Predicted Strongest Region: South

Predicted Weakest Region: Southwest

Predicted Finish Among the 55 Former Heisman Winners: Fourth

Predicted Finish:  Wait for it… 

Colt McCoy, Senior, Quarterback, Texas (13-0)
330 of 468 attempts
70.5% completion percentage
3,512 passing yards
270 passing yards per game
27 touchdown passes
12 interceptions
147.46 efficiency rating
348 rushing yards
3 rushing touchdowns

Without a doubt, McCoy slipped up in the Big 12 title game, as he threw three interceptions and totaled just 184 passing yards (with no passing TDs).  However, he was able to avert complete disaster thanks to Texas pulling it out in the end.  Nevertheless, he’ll head to the Heisman ceremony in a weakened state. 

McCoy’s strengths are:  (1) He is a senior quarterback for a traditional power playing in the national title game, (2) He has excellent name recognition due to his runner up Heisman finish a year ago and (3) He is the only quarterback with a real shot at winning the Heisman.

While his numbers aren’t as impressive as they were last year, they are within the bounds of past Heisman-winning seasons (though his 27 touchdown passes would be the fewest by a Heisman-winning quarterback since Vinnie Testaverde’s 26 in 1986).  He will do best among voters who want to choose a quarterback for the Heisman, among those who see him as the main reason Texas is undefeated and in the title game and among those who thought he should’ve won the Heisman last season.  He will do worst among those who want to pick a running back for the Heisman. 

McCoy will win the Southwest, though Ndamukong Suh and Case Keenum will also pick up support there.  He will do well in the Midwest (which he won last year, his second-strongest region) and in the Northeast (where his name recognition will pay off).  He is likely to do better in the West than Ingram will.  His worst region will be the South, where he may not crack the top three, and the Mid-Atlantic.  

Predicted Strongest Region: Southwest

Predicted Weakest Region: South

Predicted Finish Among the 55 Former Heisman Winners: 1st

Predicted Finish:  Wait for it…

So what am I waiting for?

Well, first we need to sort out a few issues.  Namely, the players in the race who could act as spoilers.

The Spoilers

Ndamukong Suh–There is a definite surge toward Suh following his amazing performance against Texas in the Big 12 title game.  He is certainly a darling among the hard-core college football media right now.  Suh isn’t going to win the Heisman, but I think he has a chance to finish as high as fourth or fifth, which would be the highest finish by a defensive tackle since Steve Emtman took fourth in 1991. 

Suh’s impact on the race could be profound.  He is likely to pick up significant first-place votes in the Southwest, thus taking away from McCoy’s total there.  But he will hurt Ingram in the Southwest, too, as the ‘Bama running back will be hard pressed making it onto many ballots due to Suh giving that region’s voters another option (along with McCoy and Keenum).  Furthermore, Suh is likely to do well in parts of the Midwest, as he hails from a farm state bordering the region.  His presence could knock both McCoy and Ingram down a few pegs there.

That all said, Suh should get no more than token/scattered support outside the Southwest and Midwest.

C.J. Spiller–Spiller finished his season strong and should do well in his home region, the Mid-Atlantic.  A weak Spiller candidacy might’ve yield the region to Ingram, who no doubt impressed area voters with his performance against ACC power Virginia Tech back in September.  But now that Spiller has done so well, he should finish no worse than second in the Mid-Atlantic and could conceivably win it.  That means fewer votes for Ingram and McCoy.  Furthermore, his status as a Florida native and somewhat Southern candidate (Clemson is in South Carolina), will also take away from Ingram in parts of the South.  It will also serve to crowd out McCoy as a third-place option in the South.  Lastly, as an ACC player, his reach extends to the Northeast (Boston College) media, so his name recognition in that part of the country could cause him to pick up some random–but vital–votes in that region.  

I foresee a sixth-place finish for Spiller, but he could have a say in who ends up winning.

Tim Tebow–He’s been knocked out of Heisman contention, but he’s still a major wild card in this race.  He’ll obviously get a ton of votes in the South (hurting Ingram) and do fairly well in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast (hurting McCoy).  I see him finishing fourth or fifth in this race, but he could still potentially affect the ultimate outcome.   

The Verdict

This is going to be a very close Heisman race among the top three vote-getters.  The aforementioned spoiler factor is what throws a wrench into the equation.  Any one of the three could win, depending on how the regions vote.  In the end, the Heismandments make it clear which player has the advantage–even if ever-so-slight–and that’s why my pick to win the 2009 Heisman Trophy is:

Colt McCoy  

I think that if Texas had lost to Nebraska, McCoy would’ve missed out on the Heisman.  But his team won and that’s why he’ll probably hang on and eke this one out despite throwing three picks against the Huskers.  I think Heisman voters like Ingram, but they aren’t overwhelmed by either him or McCoy so they will give the benefit of the doubt to the senior they’ve known for a while.  If I had to put a number on each player based on my confidence of the outcome, I’d put McCoy at 60%, Ingram at 30% and Gerhart at 10% to win.  I think there will definitely be quite a bit of suspense next Saturday, which should make for an interesting ceremony.  

I see the final order of the voting going like this:

1. Colt McCoy

2. Mark Ingram

3. Toby Gerhart

4. Tim Tebow

5. Ndamukong Suh

6. C.J. Spiller

7. Kellen Moore

8. Case Keenum

9. Golden Tate

10. Jeremiah Masoli

Keep in mind that this is not necessarily how I prefer the race to go, it is just how I think it will go.  Stay tuned as I’ll have the final HeismanPundit.com Heisman Poll tomorrow, plus I will break down how I think the regions will shake down and also reveal my own personal Heisman vote and why I voted the way I did.

About Heismanpundit

Chris Huston, A.K.A. ‘The Heisman Pundit‘, is a Heisman voter and the creator and publisher of Heismanpundit.com, a site dedicated to analysis of the Heisman Trophy and college football. Dubbed “the foremost authority on the Heisman” by Sports Illustrated, HP is regularly quoted or cited during football season in newspapers across the country. He is also a regular contributor on sports talk radio and television.

49 Responses to The Final HP Heisman Watch of 2009

  1. Anonymous December 6, 2009 at 7:13 pm #

    Thanks for all your work!

    McCoy just built up too much stock.

  2. Anonymous December 6, 2009 at 7:45 pm #

    The historical comparisons should eliminate McCoy and Ingram. Toby Gerhart’s numbers are way better than historical winners’

  3. Anderson December 6, 2009 at 8:09 pm #

    Great job.

    What do you think the chances are that the winner does not have the most 1st place votes?

    I think McCoy will win it due to being left off less ballots than either Ingram or Gerhart. Ingram will get very little support out west and likewise for Gerhart in the southeast. McCoy will have a presense in every region.

    It should be a white knuckle afair this coming Saturday.

  4. Anonymous December 6, 2009 at 8:23 pm #

    I can see Colt winning over Ingram for the sole reason that Colt is a senior while Ingram is a sophomore.

  5. Chad December 6, 2009 at 8:29 pm #

    I’m sorry, anyone that puts Colt McCoy at the top of the Heisman ballot is just going with regional bias or hasn’t watched any football games this season. This guy has played 2 “SEC calibre” defenses in OU and Neb…and stunk it up in both games. So if you want a guy that racks up big numbers against the nobodys out there, then he’s your man. Heck, he just threw 3 INTs and almost made one of the most bone-headed plays in college football history against Neb. His post-game comments showed he didn’t have a clue at the end of the game…he was looking at the PLAY clock and not the game clock! THAT’S who you want to win the Heisman?!?!?! Ingram just went crazy against the #1 team with the #1 defense in the country. He’s done it all season against tough SEC defenses. Honestly, this should not even be a close race. Face it, this season, McCoy does not DESERVE the award. That’s what it boils down to. Gerhart might be a tough load, but the dude’s team has 4 losses and couldn’t even beat Wake Forest. Ingram SHOULD win this thing going away.

  6. Anonymous December 6, 2009 at 9:29 pm #

    “He’s done it all season against tough SEC defenses.”

    Alabama vs Auburn?
    Alabama vs Arkansas?

  7. Story41 December 6, 2009 at 9:50 pm #

    First off your not gonna like me much. You do a good job with the politics of it but I find your like Fox news you report the news but not without the spin that you want it to have. I dont need to wait for your pick It is gonna be Mccoy we all know it If Im wrong Ill come in here and apologize. You act just a bit too giddy when you state his case its suttle but I can detect a bias towards him and I believe you definately dont want Ingram to win for what reason I dont know but you seem to be knowledgeable enough to know better but still you seem to do it anyways. 3 int’s and he melted down in the last seconds, you cant possibly believe he is deserving. Heisman guys have heisman moments and his was against a weak Texas a&m which is just sad. Ingram had his against the #1 defense in the biggest game and yes Im a Bama fan and Im tired of people voting away from our players because they play for us, I find it hard to believe that in this day and age it would still happen but clearly Ingram is being punished for playing for Bama in the SEC. It’s really sad and I pray im wrong but you need to prove it to me if I am with facts No way bama has never had a guy that isn’t even worthy of second place. VERY HARD TO BELIEVE.

  8. RJ December 6, 2009 at 10:01 pm #

    I need Ingram to win, cause I bet on him with 10-1 odds. I don’t think anyone else has a really good argument to win besides Gerhart.

  9. Anonymous December 6, 2009 at 10:06 pm #

    NO MORE BIG 12 QB’s PLEASE. Give it to Ingram or Gerhart.

  10. Bleh December 6, 2009 at 10:13 pm #

    Hey Chad, stop blindly listening to the announcers. If Colt was looking at the play clock, he would have thought there were 30 seconds left when he threw it out.

  11. Suh-kie December 6, 2009 at 10:41 pm #

    It’s a shame that the best player in the country won’t finish in the top 3… Suh is far and away the best.

  12. KelBomel December 6, 2009 at 11:17 pm #

    If Colt McCoy gets it after his abysmal performance against Nebraska–with Ndamukong Suh on the other side of the ball proving he is the BEST player in the country at the same time!–then the Heisman will lose its credibility with a lot of people, including myself.

  13. aj December 6, 2009 at 11:19 pm #

    it’s a shame that this isn’t the best player in college football award, cus Spiller would win that

  14. Johnny December 6, 2009 at 11:38 pm #

    If stiffarmtrophy.com is to be believed, Suh has a shot. He’ll probably end up third, but don’t count him out entirely.

  15. aj December 6, 2009 at 11:52 pm #

    sad that Suh could be ahead of Spiller..the Texas game was Suh’s first multi sack game this career..and he got a huge push..Spiller got 233 yards and 4 TDs and nobody notices..Suh is great..I watched that game..the best he has played all year..but Spiller is what a Heisman player looks like and plays like

  16. Jason December 6, 2009 at 11:52 pm #

    From perusing as many sent ballot results as possible on my own, it seems Suh is taking more out of McCoy’s votes than predicted, basically across the board but especially in Midwest, Southwest, and South. He is on top of a lot of national guys from outlets like SI, SN, ESPN, Fox, etc. and tons of papers in MW and SW, while he is a very common 3 in the south with McCoy completely off. It seems he’s even winning with some of the Texas press. The other effect it’s having is kicking off the odd Ingram and Gerhart here and there. It is going to be extremely close between he, Ingram, and Gerhart by the looks of it, with McCoy riding ex-player support and early ballots into a very solid fourth, Spiller and Tebow battling for fifth. This is just casual observation, of course.

  17. Johnny December 6, 2009 at 11:58 pm #

    Spiller killed himself with that 9 carry for 18 yds job against SC.

  18. Stephen December 7, 2009 at 12:40 am #

    It should be Gerhard or Ingram who wins it. I’ve been saying all year that the so called “Heisman pundit” is a huge Colt McCoy homer so it’s no surprise he/she/it still has Colt McCoy at the top after a mediocre year by him. His year wasn’t even as good as last year and he didn’t win it last year so he definitely shouldn’t win it this year (oh wait that’s the logic Heisman genious uses against other candidates).

  19. RJ December 7, 2009 at 1:39 am #

    Taking a more serious look at it, I think the Heisman should be decided by WHAT the contenders have done and WHO they have gone against.

    McCoy- he had two games against great defenses (Nebraska and Oklahoma) and two more against defenses that can be considered above average (TTU and OSU). He did terribly against the very good defenses and did something that rivals the stupidity of the LSU spike at the end of the Nebraska game. His team easily could have lost either of those games. At least he played alright against TTU and OSU.

    Tebow- This guy isn’t even in the top 30 in passing yards this year, and if you take out the games against Charleston Southern, Troy, and FIU (I admit this is a little unfair) he only has 11 passing TD’s and 10 rushing TD’s. So why is he even being talked about? If it weren’t for the fact that he is a household name and previous winner, he would not be a contender at all. In fairness to him, he was huge in their wins against UT, LSU, South Carolina all teams with very good defenses, but got debacled and exposed against an elite defense when it mattered most.

    Gerhart – He played well and averaged over 4 ypc in every game this year. He did great against teams with good run defenses like UCLA, USC, Arizona, and ASU. However, we didn’t get to see him go up against the best run defenses.

    Ingram – He did great in every game this year besides against Arkansas and Auburn (where he had a mild injury.) He did do great against several teams with very good defenses like VT, South Carolina, UT, and LSU. His performances against VT and UT may seem more impressive than they really were since those teams have struggled against the run at times. However, he did have one of the best performances of the year against the solid Florida defense.

    Spiller- He came through in nearly every big game. He did well against the great TCU defense, helped win the Miami game, and scored 4 TD’s in the ACC championship. He did struggle against South Carolina, who Ingram excelled against.

    Suh- He did a little bit of everything and was a dominant defensive player. He came in third in the nation in sacks (and had four of them on McCoy), blocked some kicks, and had an interception.

    In conclusion, if this were a more rational world, the only guys who should be given serious consideration would be Ingram, Gerhart, Suh, and Spiller (with McCoy, Keenum, Moore in the second tier, and Tebow not being considered at all.) However, we have people voting for someone because they like QB’s.

  20. Dukie December 7, 2009 at 1:48 am #

    you know he’s gonna vote for gerhart, HP loves Pac-10. that’s who I’d vote for too

  21. Chad December 7, 2009 at 8:11 am #

    If Colt McCoy finishes higher than 3rd, the Heisman is a joke. So basically this “analysis” comes down to the fact that voters in certain regions only vote for their “local” guy? Nice. Why is this award thought to be special given that fact? Before this past weekend, all you could hear from everyone was how it would determine the Heisman. Well, Ingram performed huge in the biggest game of the year, while Tebow and McCoy both flopped. Now, all of a sudden, this past weekend doesn’t matter as much as it did BEFORE the games were played? Come on. McCoy looked absolutely terrible against Nebraska…his best plays were pooch punts! LOL Gerhart “willed” his team to victory all season? What…did he take a 4 game vacation?
    Spiller deserves to be right behind Ingram…but he also flopped against a SEC defense that Ingram went wild against. Look at the COMPETITION these guys faced. Like I said before, just because a run defense is ranked highly doesn’t mean it’s a great run defense. It might just mean those teams play a lot of pass happy offenses that don’t run the ball well! Think voters!

  22. Anonymous December 7, 2009 at 11:47 am #

    Colt McCoy: really? He was awful against a terrible Nebraska team. The staggering stats against A&M please. Kind of like all those UHawaii QB’s. Stats shouldn’t matter when you are playing junk and struggling against mediocre competition. He will win because of idiots like this guy. How bout the Heismanbias website. ANYONE of the other candidates would be a better choice than this mediocre QB. I hope BAMA beats him to death if he wins. What a joke.

  23. Locker December 7, 2009 at 3:55 pm #

    story41-commas are your friend

    i dunno if a lot of you don’t grasp this concept or whatever, but the HP is simply stating how he thinks the race will play out based on what has happened in the past-not what he wants to happen. Nor does he have a heisman vote himself, unless i am mistaken. so don’t criticize him for being a “homer for colt mccoy” when he is in fact a west coast guy who simply appreciates the history and fun of this award and tries to predict what will happen to the best of his abilities

  24. Gonzo December 7, 2009 at 8:45 pm #

    When will the Heisman become what it was meant to be-a trophy for the best college football player irrespective of positional bias. The flaw was in it’s design-a running back with a ball-creates a subliminal lean toward offensive players only that is hard to shake. Husker fans have been treated to 4 years of Ndominant performances from Suh. His leadership on the defense and selfless play throughout his career encouraged his teammates to rise to his level of play. Fans could watch all of ’09 as the performance and intensity of the play of the Blackshirts increased from week to week with the NDominator at ground zero taking on double and triple team scemes that could not thwart his attack. Suh has led the Nebraska defense in tackles for each of the last two years. He can pass rush or he can drop back into pass coverage and all while carrying 304 lbs! I think a defensive player is due the recognition of the Heisman-yet I somehow believe that with the winning of the Nagursky award, which he did tonight, as well going into the NFL as the first pick, that not winning the Heisman won’t bother him a bit because he has ALWAYS been a TEAM player and not in the game for his own personal glory. He is the first of many that we will see come out of the Pelini camp here at Nebraska.

  25. CowboyKS December 7, 2009 at 11:14 pm #

    HP has laid out how he thinks the voting will go, not how he himself voted. Weird – Suh probably the best and most dominate player. And McCoy might simply win it because Gerhart and Ingram split the RB vote. It would be a travesty if McCoy won after mud-pie performance against a 20 something ranked Nebraska, then iced it with his greedy attempt for a TD pass to Shipley. All he had to do was set up the field goal and he couldn’t do. He was probably delusional enough to think he could throw the TD against Neb.
    Ingram should win it. He had an amazing season against tough opponents and shined against a top 5 defense, all while splitting time with 2 other RBs.

  26. michael December 7, 2009 at 11:33 pm #

    I don’t think you morons from the SEC understand how this works. This website predicts what they think will happen, with as much knowledge that they have. Is an stock analysts a “Walmart homer” if he thinks the stock price is going to rise 5% based on recent earnings? Get an education before you start posting your cry-baby reasons why your player should win the heisman.

  27. Alex December 8, 2009 at 2:36 am #

    Ok first of all quit bashing colt McCoy! The guy has one bad game and people start sayin he’s not heisman worthy. I guess everyone forgot his performance against ATM( 304 passing 4 td 175 rush tds 1 td) I mean I kno ATM ain’t the greatest D but neither was Auburns when Ingram had a bad game. Second of all he should have won it last year. And third of all big 12 has the offense while sec has the defense. So we see in the championship game who is the better player and team!

  28. jeff December 8, 2009 at 5:02 am #

    colt mccoy come within 1 second of chunking his teams whole season, including a possible national championship, down the drain with his careless play . . . and then wins the heisman!?
    nah!

  29. jeff December 8, 2009 at 5:34 am #

    also colt mccoy performance in 2008 was much better than 2009.
    i know that shouldn’t matter for this award, but you know it will!

    that makes for two BIG psychological hurdles voters would have to overcome to vote colt mccoy the winner!

    think it’s a dead heat between ingram and gerhart, with tebow probably taking enough votes from ingram, to swing it in gerhart’s favor.

  30. TBONE December 8, 2009 at 6:08 am #

    I love the arguments against Gerhardt here based on won-loss record. Are you telling me that if Ingram and Gerhardt switched places, the teams records are any different? Does Alabama go undefeated if Richardson starts all year? Possibly. So forget giving Ingram the Heisman, give it to the Alabama team or Nick Saban. I have seen both teams play all season and Ingram was a very good player on a dominating team, but Gerhardt was a dominating player who took over games all season. Part of the reason why is his durability. The guy can carry the ball 40 times a game if needed and it was needed with a freshman quarterback. A power runner that took over games playing for frickin Stanford for godsake! You know the school who has extreme difficulty recruiting decent lineman and has to be pass-happy every season. One man turned an historically soft team into the toughest team in the Pac-10. If that is not what the Heisman is supposed to be about, then I just never understood it. It’s not a team award, right, and Alabama, in my opinion, could have not had Ingram vs. Auburn, Florida, or against Texas and the outcome of those games is not affected. Richardson was just as productive and keeps getting the ball in the clutch. Plus, how did you like Saban’s half-hearted endorsement after the game. A little different from Harbaugh’s.

    No point in even mentioning McCoy. Not impressed. He should have cost them their season Saturday and gets a mulligan. A couple penalty calls against Nebraska do not happen as well (like the silly pass-interference call in the first-half which would have been a punt not a field-goal) and a different Texas team is playing for the BCS championship. I like Suh though for the same reasons as Gerhardt. He is carrying Nebraska’s program back to prominence on his shoulders.

  31. Lance466 December 8, 2009 at 11:13 am #

    @michael:

    As everyone knows, using stereotypes is always a great way to really hammer your point home. Although being condescending and calling out an entire region for being uneducated while you yourself use poor grammar is an effective method as well.

    michael on December 7, 2009 11:33 pm
    I don’t think you morons from the SEC understand how this works. This website predicts what they think will happen, with as much knowledge that they have. Is an stock analysts a “Walmart homer” if he thinks the stock price is going to rise 5% based on recent earnings? Get an education before you start posting your cry-baby reasons why your player should win the heisman.

  32. Anonymous December 8, 2009 at 2:42 pm #

    I love how people say “If McCoy wins after 2 bad games then the Heisman is a joke” when they suggest Ingram (who also had two bad games) should win it easily.

    You people are stupid.

  33. Wowza December 8, 2009 at 3:24 pm #

    McCoy has his best games agains teams that defenses are among college footballs worst…How can you even waiver on the idea that the kid is a stud. The reason that his team is where they are at is because of all the support around him. I think him and Shipley just need to go get on the boat and head out to sea and fish for a while and never return. I am tired of hearing about him. I am from Texas and that is all anyone talks about. I am ready for him to play Bama and see them make him a human divot.

  34. strong December 8, 2009 at 5:14 pm #

    suh a spoiler? you might want to update your prediction, bub. he’s likely to lead in first place votes.

  35. Blair Wilson December 9, 2009 at 12:59 pm #

    Oh my god, I think Colt McCoy deserves this award out right, because of his heart for the game, his tenacity for the game, his beliefs, he is a honorable man, and he has shown others that he is a Christian. He also has demonstrated alot to not only his school work at UT, but to people around the world. Think about it, he has helped so many people, and he has worked his butt off on the field. I understand he struggled on the field against Nebraska last weekend, but shoot, that should not make a difference. He dominated majority of his games, he fights to win, he believes in himself, his coaches, and his teammates. He is a leader, he is a great ballplayer. Some of you should do what he does, he also helped a man from drowning a few years ago, I doubt any of you would ever do that, but Colt sure did, he risked his life to save another one, and both of them are still here to this day. He also has broken alot of records in UT football, he won 46 games this year, etc… Ya’ll should be ashamed of yourselves for criticizing a human being for doing what he loves to do, and that is play football. I don’t care what you say, Colt is and will always be my Heisman trophy winner, regardless of what you naysayers say, Period!!

  36. Anonymous December 9, 2009 at 2:55 pm #

    The lead sportswriter for the Austin American Statesman voted for Suh. I think that speaks volumes!

    http://www.statesman.com/sports/content/sports/stories/other/2009/12/09/1209bohls.html

  37. Chuck December 9, 2009 at 7:44 pm #

    According to oddsmakers, McCoy is 4th choice. Ingram, Gerhart, Suh, then McCoy. HP, your prediction needs a complete overhaul.

  38. Anonymous December 9, 2009 at 11:27 pm #

    How can the QB with the most wins in college football history not win the heisman? He also lead his team to a championship game, breaking records all the way to the end.

    McCoy..Hook em Horns!!!

  39. Jeff December 10, 2009 at 7:32 pm #

    8 out of the last 9 Heismans went to Quarterbacks. Enough is enough, all these canidates are worthy of this award, but take a look at what Suh did against the Texas wonder boy. Suh has put up all his numbers this year while being double or even triple teamed in EVERY GAME. This is an outstanding player that should be the first defensive player to get this award. If Colt wins it this year it would be a joke! His stats are just a little better than average this year. Suh also blocked several extra points, knocked down several passes, an interception, the list goes on and on. Remember all this from a defensive tackle!

  40. Jamie December 10, 2009 at 11:28 pm #

    Anonymous – Bohls voted against VY and then later apologized. He is a worthless writer. People complain about McCoy? Ingram’s numbers are above average in most college football seasons and when he comes out of the game, the back up puts up the same numbers. Bama’s o-line should win the Heisman…

  41. Anonymous December 12, 2009 at 11:46 am #

    I see Pundit as being right here, of the two RB’s Gerhart is the better of the two. However, two factors play in here, Colt is a QB and many voters love seein the QB as the Heisman winner, the second is the fact that only Gerhart and Colt are seniors. Colt Wins despite his slip up vs. NEB.

  42. First and Last visit to this site December 12, 2009 at 7:15 pm #

    Oooooooooops.

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

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    [...] Heisman Pundit Heisman Ranking Colt McCoy Mark Ingram Toby Gerhart Tim Tebow Ndamukong Suh [...]

  5. Calling the Heisman race « CUOrange Blog - December 12, 2009

    [...] HeismanPundit.com called the race and declared McCoy the winner.  Wow.  McCoy didn’t even win with the Austin voters.  Oops. [...]

  6. Voting Wrap Up | Heismanpundit - December 14, 2009

    [...] THE HP HEISMAN WATCH (HP Calls the Race!) [...]

  7. A Few Things To Remember Before This Week’s Poll | Heismanpundit - November 29, 2011

    [...] race of the Twitter Era and the events of the 2009 campaign are still fresh in my mind. That year, I picked Colt McCoy to win the Heisman, but my poll picked Mark Ingram (with almost eerie accuracy). Where was my own analysis faulty? [...]