I turned things around last week, going 6-4 against the spread–and was just a hair or two from going 8-2–and on the season I’m now 32-36-2. Now for another go at it, all lines courtesy of DocSports.
UCLA (+27) at Oregon–UCLA is a schizophrenic team–you never know what you’re going to get–and I think they’ll put just enough together here to cover. The Ducks will start fast, but bog down a bit in the second half.
Oregon 45, UCLA 21
Cincinnati (-7.5) vs. South Florida–Zach Collaros is quietly putting together a very good season, while B.J. Daniels has been a huge disappointment. I think both trends continue here.
Cincinnati 31, South Florida 21
Notre Dame (-6.5) at Navy–I don’t see a Brian Kelly-coached ND team losing to Navy. I think the Irish jump out quick and hold off the Middies in the second half.
Notre Dame 35, Navy 24
Indiana at Illinois (55.5 points)–I like the OVER here. Two pretty good offenses in play with some good athletes. Not a whole lot of defense between them, though Illinois’s front seven has played pretty well at times.
Illinois 42, Indiana 31
Arkansas (-9.5) vs. Ole Miss–The Razorbacks didn’t seem to skip a beat much when Ryan Mallett got hurt. I can’t see the Rebels being able to slow them down regardles of who’s under center for the Razorbacks.
Arkansas 37, Ole Miss 24
Oklahoma (-3) at Missouri–The Sooners play well in high-profile Big 12 games like this one. The Tigers have a potent offense, but the Sooners defense should be able to slow them down enough to win solidly.
Oklahoma 38, Missouri 24
Auburn (-6) at LSU–LSU’s defense is highly rated, but it hasn’t played an offense like Auburn’s yet. And we can bet the LSU offense will have trouble getting out of its own way at times. Tigers win!
Auburn 28, LSU 17
San Diego State (-23.5) at New Mexico–The Aztecs are turned around and are now the kind of respectable team that can easily handle the New Mexico’s of the world. Ronnie Hillman has another big day and SDSU rolls.
SDSU 49, New Mexico 17
Texas (-21) vs. Iowa State–The Longhorns are feeling confident now after showing a lot of pride by going into Lincoln and handling the Cornhuskers. I think the momentum will carry over against the Cyclones.
Texas 34, Iowa State 6
Penn State (-9.5) at Minnesota–The Nittany Lions have been anemic this year, but Minnesota is bad and probably reeling a bit after losing its coach. PSU takes full advantage and wins easily.
Penn State 38, Minnesota 17