I managed to go 5-4-1 last week to bring my season record against the spread to 41-46-3. I’ve got winning records in 5 of the 9 weeks, but a couple bad really weeks have set me back some. Now for this week’s 10 plays against the spread, with lines courtesy of DocSports.com.
Virginia (-1) at Duke — I like the job Mike London has done in his first year at Virginia. A win here gets the Cavs one step closer to bowl eligibility and I see it happening thanks to a big game from Keith Payne.
Virginia 24, Duke 17
Iowa (-17.5) at Indiana – The Hawkeyes are still in the hunt for the Big Ten title and they’ll have no mercy for the Hoosiers, who are struggling mightily on defense for most of the conference slate. Ricky Stanzi continues his hot streak.
Iowa 35, Indiana 12
Illinois at Michigan (57.5) OVER – These are two teams that know how to score, but the big difference will be that the Illini will stop Michigan just enough to pull out the win in a barnburner.
Illinois 45, Michigan 42
Arkansas (+4.5) at South Carolina — This is another game with good ‘over’ potential, with the total being 59, but I like the Razorbacks to win this outright thanks to the emergence of Knile Davis, who is on his way to becoming a star SEC running back.
Arkansas 38, South Carolina 34
Oregon (-35) vs. Washington – With Jake Locker out of this one, I don’t see how the Huskies can muster a whole lot of offense. And, of course, nothing is going to stop the Ducks. This should get ugly quick.
Oregon 59, Washington 6
Oklahoma (-3) at Texas A&M – Ryan Tannehill has breathed some life into the Aggie offense, but this will be the first real defense he has faced. Look for him to come down to earth a bit and for the Sooners to notch a solid win.
Oklahoma 35, Texas A&M 24
TCU (-5) at Utah – The Utes are an impressive team, but the Horned Frogs are the class of the Mountain West. TCU’s suffocating defense will keep them on track for a BCS bid of some kind.
TCU 28, Utah 17
Alabama (-6.5) at LSU – The Tide have had two weeks to prepare for an already anemic LSU offense. Bama has to play with urgency now that the BCS is at stake and the result will be an easy win here.
Alabama 24, LSU 9
Oregon State (-5) at UCLA – If the Beavers win out, they go to the Rose Bowl. That’s not going to happen, but they will handle the Bruins thanks to a monster game from Jacquizz Rodgers.
Oregon State 31, UCLA 21
Arizona (+9.5) at Stanford – I’m not really sure who will win this one, but I think it’ll be close. In the end, too much Andrew Luck and the Cardinal move into position for a possible BCS bid, but the Wildcats cover.
Stanford 27, Arizona 23