Under normal circumstances, I believe he would.
But the big X factor in the vote is how many voters will leave him off their ballots due to the pay-for-play controversy.
My projection is that 15 to 20 percent of voters will leave him off. If that projection turns out to be correct, then his win will be comfortable and more akin to Barry Sanders’ margin than Troy Smith’s. A big win, but no landslide.
Whatever the case, I think Newton’s point total will surpass the combined total of the three players behind him.