Comparing the Numbers

Here are the current stats for the main Heisman contenders and what they project to have by the time Heisman votes are due:

[column width=”47%” padding=”6%”] Andrew LuckCurrent
2,695 passing yards
29 TDs
7 INTs
169.06 rating
134 rushing yds
2 rushing TDs

Brandon WeedenCurrent
3,635 passing yards
31 TD passes
9 INTs
164.16 rating

Trent RichardsonCurrent
1,205 rushing yards
18 rushing TDs
5.91 ypc
25 receptions
318 receiving yards
1 receiving TD

Case Keenum Current
3,951 passing yards
37 TD passes
3 INTs
193.34 rating
35 rushing yds
2 TDs

[/column] [column width=”47%” padding=”0″] Andrew LuckProjected
3,235 passing yards
35 TD passes
8 INTs
168.80 rating
150 rushing yards
2 rushing TDs

Brandon Weeden — Projected
4,361 passing yards
37 TD passes
11 INTs
73.1 %
163.70 rating

Trent Richardson — Projected
1,445 rushing yards
22 rushing TDs
5.91 ypc
30 receptions
382 receiving yards
2 receiving TDs

Case Keenum — Projected
5,136 passing yards
48 TD passes
4 INTs
192.8 rating
44 rushing yards
2 rushing TDs


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Chris Huston, A.K.A. ‘The Heisman Pundit‘, is a Heisman voter and the creator and publisher of, a site dedicated to analysis of the Heisman Trophy and college football. Dubbed “the foremost authority on the Heisman” by Sports Illustrated, HP is regularly quoted or cited during football season in newspapers across the country. He is also a regular contributor on sports talk radio and television.

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3 Responses to Comparing the Numbers

  1. CowboyKS November 17, 2011 at 7:55 pm #

    Looking into the stats a bit, there are a few interesting tidbits.
    Yardage. Weeden has about 1000 more yards than Luck.
    TDs. About the same, with Weeden having a few more.
    Picks. About the same w Weeden have a few more on a lot more production.
    QB rating. Luck is higher due to his higher td to yardage ratio. Read on….

    Let’s look at the offenses overall.
    OkState produces about 70% of its yardage passing.
    Stanford produces About 55% of its yardage passing. Much more balanced.

    Here is the interesting twist…
    OkState produces about 55% of its TDs passing. Very balanced.
    Stanford is almost identical at about 55% passing TDs.
    Now what’s even more interesting is 50% of the passing TDs, or +25% of Stanford TDs are alley oop passes to receivers 6’6″ or taller.
    Net net OkState is a pass first yardage team and balanced scoring team.
    Stanford is a balanced pass-run yardage offense and Alley Oop to the NBA center scoring team.
    Luck is lucky to have gargantuan recievers and a very strong rushing compliment. OkState has an amazing fireballing QB that makes all of his throws.

    • TreeCardMonty November 18, 2011 at 11:03 am #

      Hmm. Have you ever watched Stanford? I do not recall a single “alley-oop” touchdown to the tight ends this season. They’re just well-placed throws like you’d make to any receiver.

      And how is it that Luck has an unfair advantage in terms of receivers when his wide-outs are average at best, and hampered with injuries and inexperience, while Weeden gets to throw to Justin Blackmon all day long?

  2. Craig November 21, 2011 at 12:47 pm #

    So, when and where does Case Keenum need to show up to grab his award?