Here are the current stats for the main Heisman contenders and what they project to have by the time Heisman votes are due:
[column width="47%" padding="6%"] Andrew Luck — Current
2,695 passing yards
29 TDs
7 INTs
70.6%
169.06 rating
134 rushing yds
2 rushing TDs
Brandon Weeden — Current
3,635 passing yards
31 TD passes
9 INTs
73.1%
164.16 rating
Trent Richardson — Current
1,205 rushing yards
18 rushing TDs
5.91 ypc
25 receptions
318 receiving yards
1 receiving TD
Case Keenum – Current
3,951 passing yards
37 TD passes
3 INTs
74.2%
193.34 rating
35 rushing yds
2 TDs
[/column] [column width="47%" padding="0"] Andrew Luck — Projected
3,235 passing yards
35 TD passes
8 INTs
70.6%
168.80 rating
150 rushing yards
2 rushing TDs
Brandon Weeden — Projected
4,361 passing yards
37 TD passes
11 INTs
73.1 %
163.70 rating
Trent Richardson — Projected
1,445 rushing yards
22 rushing TDs
5.91 ypc
30 receptions
382 receiving yards
2 receiving TDs
Case Keenum — Projected
5,136 passing yards
48 TD passes
4 INTs
74.2%
192.8 rating
44 rushing yards
2 rushing TDs
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Looking into the stats a bit, there are a few interesting tidbits.
Yardage. Weeden has about 1000 more yards than Luck.
TDs. About the same, with Weeden having a few more.
Picks. About the same w Weeden have a few more on a lot more production.
QB rating. Luck is higher due to his higher td to yardage ratio. Read on….
Let’s look at the offenses overall.
OkState produces about 70% of its yardage passing.
Stanford produces About 55% of its yardage passing. Much more balanced.
Here is the interesting twist…
OkState produces about 55% of its TDs passing. Very balanced.
Stanford is almost identical at about 55% passing TDs.
Now what’s even more interesting is 50% of the passing TDs, or +25% of Stanford TDs are alley oop passes to receivers 6’6″ or taller.
Net net OkState is a pass first yardage team and balanced scoring team.
Stanford is a balanced pass-run yardage offense and Alley Oop to the NBA center scoring team.
Luck is lucky to have gargantuan recievers and a very strong rushing compliment. OkState has an amazing fireballing QB that makes all of his throws.
Hmm. Have you ever watched Stanford? I do not recall a single “alley-oop” touchdown to the tight ends this season. They’re just well-placed throws like you’d make to any receiver.
And how is it that Luck has an unfair advantage in terms of receivers when his wide-outs are average at best, and hampered with injuries and inexperience, while Weeden gets to throw to Justin Blackmon all day long?
So, when and where does Case Keenum need to show up to grab his award?