Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by BetUs. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 7-3 in my picks last week — almost 9-1 — so heed my advice!
Last week against the spread: 7-3
Season record against the spread: 7-3
UNDER 48 Miami vs. Florida
I think Florida’s pass defense — particularly its corners — will do a good job holding Stephen Morris and the Miami receivers in check. But I don’t see Florida’s offense doing much either. I think Miami pulls off the upset in a sloppy affair, but I’m going with the UNDER in this one.
Miami 21, Florida 17
Oklahoma State -27 at UTSA
The Cowboys struggled early last week against Mississippi State, but they finally found a groove once J.W. Walsh took the reins at quarterback. I think Walsh gives OSU another dimension with his mobility and this is the game where the Cowboys offense hits its stride.
Oklahoma State 56, UTSA 17
Oklahoma -21.5 vs. West Virginia
Trevor Knight threw for just 86 yards last week against Louisiana-Monroe, but that did include three touchdown passes and 103 rushing yards. I look for his passing numbers to improve in week two and for the Sooners offense to take a step forward. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers will struggle against the Sooners defense.
Oklahoma 45, West Virginia 13
Georgia -3 vs. South Carolina
The Bulldogs have their backs against the wall and I don’t see them starting the season 0-2. Gurley and Murray outshine Clowney and Co. and both teams even their records at 1-1.
Georgia 27, South Carolina 21
Auburn -10.5 vs. Arkansas State
Sticking with that theme of offenses improving in week two, I like the Tigers to continue to do well on the ground while Nick Marshall’s passing numbers become a little more respectable. The Red Wolves will score, but the Tigers will overwhelm Gus Malzahn’s former team in the end.
Auburn 42, Arkansas State 28
Notre Dame +4.5 at Michigan
This Notre Dame team has take a step up athletically, especially at the skill positions. Tommy Rees appears to be on his way to a great season and I think he leads the Irish to a win here as the Michigan ground game gets stifled.
Notre Dame 26, Michigan 19
Hawaii +27 at Oregon State
The Beavers will bounce back in this one, but Hawaii’s defense showed it was solid against USC. Sean Mannion has another huge day, but the Rainbow Warriors keep it relatively close.
Oregon State 38, Hawaii 17
Washington State +16 at USC
I expect Mike Leach to have something special in store in his game plan for the Trojans. USC will continue to struggle on offense and will need its defense to step up to force some big plays. The Cougars get off to a great start and pull the upset.
Washington State 24, USC 21
UNDER 48.5 San Jose State vs. Stanford
The Stanford offense will be a bit sluggish in its first game while the Spartans will experience the full wrath of the Cardinal defense. This should be a low scoring affair and that’s why I’m taking the UNDER.
Stanford 27, San Jose State 6
Minnesota -15 at New Mexico State
Philip Nelson and the Gophers looked very good against UNLV last week and I expect Jerry Kill’s team to pick up where it left off.
Minnesota 45, New Mexico State 28