I was pretty solid picking games against the spread last year. Time to get started for week one of the 2014 season. All lines courtesy of Docsports. These are the 10 games I think are the best plays of the week:
Texas A&M +10.5 at South Carolina — This should be a shootout and I think the total of 61 will be surpassed. A&M freshman Speedy Noil should have a fine debut as the Aggies upset the Gamecocks in a close one.
Texas A&M 38, South Carolina 34
Arkansas at Auburn (57.5 total) — I like the OVER on this game as we should see a lot of points, with Auburn scoring the vast majority of them.
Auburn 45, Arkansas 24
Fresno State +22 at USC — The Trojans are installing a new scheme and have been hit by some key injuries on defense. I think Bulldogs quarterback Brandon Connette, the Duke transfer, will give USC enough trouble to keep this one from getting out of hand. Look for a big game from Buck Allen.
USC 35, Fresno State 17
Colorado (-3) vs. Colorado State — The Buffaloes will be much improved in Year 2 under Mike MacIntyre and we’ll see the first signs of that against their in-state rival.
Colorado 28, Colorado State 21
Nebraska (-21.5) vs. Florida Atlantic — Big Red should be improved this year behind Ameer Abdullah. I like Tommy Armstrong’s potential.
Nebraska 45, FAU 17
Washington (-17) at Hawaii — The Huskies are as talented as they’ve been in 15 years and should roll in this one despite starting a young quarterback.
Washington 41, Hawaii 17
LSU (-5) vs. Wisconsin – Too much athleticism and talent for Wisconsin to handle in this one. The Badgers will keep Leonard Fournette in check, but that will open things up for quarterbacks Jennings and Harris.
LSU 24, Wisconsin 17
Idaho (+36.5) at Florida — I know it’s Idaho, but that’s a lot of point for an offense like Florida to cover, even if improvement is shown under new OC Roper.
Florida 41, Idaho 10
California at Northwestern (60 points) — I like the OVER on this. The combination of Cal’s offense and its (lack of) defense should ensure a lot of points being scored.
Northwestern 45, California 41
Arizona (-23.5) vs. UNLV — New quarterback Anu Solomon will have a big game throwing to his stellar receiving corps and the Running Rebels will have a tough time against the Wildcats defense.
Arizona 55, UNLV 21
Penn State (+2) at UCF — Christian Hackenberg picks up where he left off last year and James Franklin wins his debut as Nittany Lions head coach.
Penn State 27, UCF 17