As part of my summer homework, I’ve decided to take a deep dive into the two deeps and recruiting classes of as many teams as possible.
It is a time consuming process, requiring a lot of film study, but I hope to have most of the BCS conferences fully evaluated by the season’s start.
The upside is that I should have a deep familiarity with the talent levels of most of the teams and that should serve me well here. I will probably create a separate page where people can access it as a resource. Hey, feel free to use the info for NFL betting down the road.
As a tease, I’m including here my eval of the entire Alabama two-deep and recruiting class. Will these evals turn out to be accurate? We’ll see. I am happy to put them to the test.
Let’s get a few things in order before you read these evals. It’s very important to read this if you want to understand where I’m coming from.
1. Rather than rank someone with a nebulous star rating or a happy face, I am applying an NFL draft grade to them since this is a metric that many of us understand. To be clear, when I write that someone is a first-round talent, I am not predicting that they will be selected in the first round of the draft (though some certainly will). What I am saying is that this player has physical ability commensurate with players who are typically drafted in the first round. The same standard applies with other denominations by round.
2. The two deeps, heights and weights are taken from either the school’s web site or from Rivals.com. If you quibble with who I have on the depth chart, I have no answer for you. Some of the recruit lists might not include late signees or it might include guys who won’t qualify or will grayshirt. Just take the evals for what they are in that case.
3. The purpose of these evals are to give myself and the HP audience an insight into the raw talent levels of the schools in question. Coaching and scheme are not taken into account.
4. I did not look at anyone else’s evals when doing my own evals. I did not look at stats. I did not read what coaches had to say. I did not peek to see how many or which schools offered a given recruit. In other words, I avoided outside influences as much as possible and basically just looked at as much tape as was available and made my call.
5. I know evaluations of this nature are controversial. Some of you are going to vehemently disagree with some of them. Some of you will wonder what my qualifications are for making them. All I ask is that you put my evaluations to the test in the coming seasons and we’ll see how accurate I was. In the meantime, I welcome any insights or helpful comments on these players.
6. In some cases, for speed’s sake, my evals are very brief, especially with players who I don’t need to evaluate further. Johnny Manziel? We all know about him. I don’t waste much words adding to what we already know. In other cases, I have limited or bad tape on a player and have to make a snap eval based on what I am able to see.
7. When I have all my evaluations, I will rank the teams and players according to talent level and also overall.
And here we go: Continue Reading →