Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 6-4 in my picks last week and I’m hitting 60% on the season, so heed my advice!
Last week against the spread: 6-4
Season record against the spread: 24-16 (.600)
Florida State -23 at Boston College
Too much talent disparity in this one. Florida State will score early and often and drop BC to 2-2 on the year. Another big game for Jameis Winston.
Florida State 45, Boston College 14
Minnesota +2 vs. Iowa
Minnesota has found its quarterback in freshman Mitch Leidner. I look for the Gophers to play mistake-free, fundamentally-sound football and score the mild upset.
Minnesota 31, Iowa 27
Arizona State -5 vs. USC
USC has struggled against the weakest part of its schedule and now must take a step up in class against a talented Sun Devils squad. Look for Marion Grice and Jaelen Strong to have big games as ASU rolls.
Arizona State 27, USC 10
Oklahoma -3.5 at Notre Dame
Week 2 of the Bell Dozer under center will continue to pay dividends and the Sooners will have just enough offense to grind out a win against a tough Irish front seven.
Oklahoma 21, Notre Dame 17
OVER 58.5 points, Colorado at Oregon State
These are two offensively skilled teams with suspect defenses. To me, that spells a lot of points which is why I’ll take the OVER. Oregon State wins over a much-improved Colorado squad.
Oregon State 42, Colorado 31
Stanford -9 at Washington State
The WSU defense is pretty solid, especially the front line, but it’s never wise to get into a slugfest in the trenches against Stanford. The Cardinal will methodically tear the Cougars apart and win going away.
Stanford 31, Washington State 13
Texas A&M -14 at Arkansas
It’s really simple here: Arkansas can’t stop Texas A&M and the Razorbacks are not the same offensively without quarterback Brandon Allen, who may or may not play. Either way, Arkansas can’t keep up.
Texas A&M 52, Arkansas 24
Alabama -14 vs. Mississippi
The Ole Miss scheme plus Bo Wallace isn’t enough to make up for the talent disparity that exists between the two teams. Now that it’s back in SEC play, Alabama will cut down on mistakes and play closer to its potential.
Alabama 42, Ole Miss 21
OVER 62, Arizona at Washington
We should see a lot of offense from these two teams and I expect a wild one up in Seattle. Washington has more weapons, though, and should pull out the win.
Washington 41, Arizona 31
Pitt -5 vs. Virginia
Pitt is slowly putting together a nice little offense based around senior quarterback Tom Savage and a couple freshmen, running back James Conner and receiver Tyler Boyd. I don’t think Virginia can keep them in check.
Pittsburgh 35, Virginia 24