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Picking this week’s games

I went 5-5 against the spread in my season debut. Here’s to a stronger week two. Now for my 10 plays of the week, lines courtesy of Docsports.com (picks in bold):

Arizona -8 at UTSA

Boston College +4.5 vs. Pittsburgh

Washington State -4 at Nevada

Navy -3 at Temple

Michigan State +11.5 at Oregon State

Missouri -4 at Toledo

Auburn vs. San Jose State 65.5 total (OVER)

Notre Dame -4 vs. Michigan

UCLA -23.5 vs. Memphis

Hawaii +10.5 vs. Oregon State

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Weekly picks

I was pretty solid picking games against the spread last year. Time to get started for week one of the 2014 season. All lines courtesy of Docsports. These are the 10 games I think are the best plays of the week:

Texas A&M +10.5 at South Carolina — This should be a shootout and I think the total of 61 will be surpassed. A&M freshman Speedy Noil should have a fine debut as the Aggies upset the Gamecocks in a close one.

Texas A&M 38, South Carolina 34

Arkansas at Auburn (57.5 total) — I like the OVER on this game as we should see a lot of points, with Auburn scoring the vast majority of them.

Auburn 45, Arkansas 24

Fresno State +22 at USC — The Trojans are installing a new scheme and have been hit by some key injuries on defense. I think Bulldogs quarterback Brandon Connette, the Duke transfer, will give USC enough trouble to keep this one from getting out of hand. Look for a big game from Buck Allen.

USC 35, Fresno State 17

Colorado (-3) vs. Colorado State — The Buffaloes will be much improved in Year 2 under Mike MacIntyre and we’ll see the first signs of that against their in-state rival.

Colorado 28, Colorado State 21

Nebraska (-21.5) vs. Florida Atlantic — Big Red should be improved this year behind Ameer Abdullah. I like Tommy Armstrong’s potential.

Nebraska 45, FAU 17

Washington (-17) at Hawaii — The Huskies are as talented as they’ve been in 15 years and should roll in this one despite starting a young quarterback.

Washington 41, Hawaii 17

LSU (-5) vs. Wisconsin – Too much athleticism and talent for Wisconsin to handle in this one.  The Badgers will keep Leonard Fournette in check, but that will open things up for quarterbacks Jennings and Harris.

LSU 24, Wisconsin 17

California at Northwestern (60 points) — I like the OVER on this. The combination of Cal’s offense and its (lack of) defense should ensure a lot of points being scored.

Northwestern 45, California 41

Arizona (-23.5) vs. UNLV — New quarterback Anu Solomon will have a big game throwing to his stellar receiving corps and the Running Rebels will have a tough time against the Wildcats defense.

Arizona 55, UNLV 21

Penn State (+2) at UCF — Christian Hackenberg picks up where he left off last year and James Franklin wins his debut as Nittany Lions head coach.

Penn State 27, UCF 17

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Week 13 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. After going 7-3 a couple weeks ago, I fell back to 4-7 last week. However, I’m hitting 56.3% on the season (67-52-2), so heed my advice!

I did better when I just laid out the picks with no explanation, so here we go:

Ohio State -35 vs. Indiana

Michigan State -7.5 at Northwestern

Minnesota +17 vs. Wisconsin

UCLA +3 vs. Arizona State

Oregon -21 at Arizona

Baylor -10 at Oklahoma State

Kansas State -5 vs. Oklahoma

Missouri -3 at Mississippi

Washington State -1.5 vs. Utah

Louisville -23 vs. Memphis

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Week 12 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I had a great week last week, going 7-3, and I’m hitting 58.3% on the season (63-45-2), so heed my advice!

UCLA -3 vs. Washington

I see this game as being a bit of a shootout, with Hundley and Crew coming out on top with a great second half.

UCLA 41, Washington 31

Ohio State -33.5 at Illinois

The Buckeye offense will continue to be in juggernaut mode, with Braxton Miller playing like the Heisman candidate he could’ve been.

Ohio State 56, Illinois 17

Stanford -4 at USC

The Cardinal front seven will be too much for the USC offensive line and Cody Kessler will struggle, resulting in another smothering win for Stanford.

Stanford 23, USC 9

Kansas State -11 vs. TCU

Kansas State has things figured out and is playing as well as anyone in the Big 12 right now. This should be another fine game for Sams and Waters and the Wildcats roll.

Kansas State 38, TCU 21

Miami -3.5 at Duke

The Hurricanes won’t have Duke against Duke, but they will have Stephen Morris, who should have a huge game and get Miami back on the winning track.

Miami 34, Duke 23

Vanderbilt -13 vs. Kentucky

Another scrappy win for the Commodores thanks to a big game from the defense and steady running from Jerron Seymour.

Vandy 31, Kentucky 14

North Carolina +1 at Pittsburgh

Marquise Williams continues to play well and leads the Tar Heels to their fourth-straight win.

North Carolina 27, Pitt 23

Central Florida -17 at Temple

Too much Blake Bortles for the Owls as the Knights roll.

Central Florida 45, Temple 21

South Carolina -12.5 vs. Florida

This one could get ugly as the Gators will start freshman Skyler Mornhinweg at quarterback on the road. Mike Davis plows his way to 100-plus yards and the Gamecocks cruise.

South Carolina 42, Florida 10

West Virginia -7 at Kansas

The Mountaineers crawl closer to bowl eligibility by beating the Jayhawks on the road. Should be a productive day for Paul Millard.

West Virginia 48, Kansas 28

Baylor -27.5 vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s collapse continues as Bryce Petty throws for 300 plus yards and accounts for at least four TDs as Baylor moves to 9-0.

Baylor 66, Texas Tech 31

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Week 11 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. Now, I had my first bad week of the season last week, going 3-6-1, but I’m hitting 57.1% on the season (56-42-2), so heed my advice!

Just my quick picks today.

Florida State -35 at Wake Forest

Miami -7 vs. Virginia Tech

Minnesota -3 vs. Penn State

Missouri -14.5 at Kentucky

Vanderbilt +10.5 at Florida

Texas -6 at West Virginia

Arizona State -7 at Utah

Texas A&M -20 vs. Mississippi State

UCLA +2 at Arizona

Auburn -8 at Tennessee

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Week 10 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 6-2-1 last week (I had accidentally picked 11 games the week prior) and I’m hitting 59.5% on the season (53-36-1), so heed my advice!

Oregon State -4.5 vs. USC

This is probably my lock of the week. USC’s secondary can’t match up with the OSU passing attack and the Trojan offense plods too much to keep up. Huge game for Mannion and Cooks.

Oregon State 38, USC 24

Tennessee +10 at Missouri

Missouri should be deflated after last week’s tough loss to South Carolina, while Tennessee is undervalued because it went into a buzzsaw at Alabama and will now be starting a freshman QB named Josh Dobbs, who’s a talented player. The Vols have a chance to win this one outright.

Missouri 24, Tennessee 21

Georgia -3 vs. Florida

I think the return of Todd Gurley will be the difference in this one and the Bulldogs win easily.

Georgia 27, Florida 16

Michigan +4.5 at Michigan State

These two teams always seem to play it close, but the Spartans aren’t used to being the favorites. I expect the Wolverines to come out of the gate playing at a high level, then hold on for the win.

Michigan 20, Michigan State 17

Minnesota +8 at Indiana

The Gophers are a tough, hard-nosed team and I think they’ll pull the mild upset on the road.

Minnesota 31, Indiana 28

Auburn -8 at Arkansas

Even without Nick Marshall, the Tigers should be fine on offense and move the ball well against a very suspect Arkansas defense.

Auburn 38, Arkansas 27

Hawaii +24 at Utah State

I don’t think Hawaii is going to go winless and the Warriors have been coming close the last three weeks. No win this time, but another close one for Norm Chow’s troops.

Utah State 28, Hawaii 25

Ohio State -32.5 at Purdue

The Buckeyes are in juggernaut mode on offense and will make quick work of the Boilermakers.

Ohio State 52, Purdue 17

Arizona -16.5 at Cal

The Bears continue to be decimated with injuries on defense and the Wildcats will take full advantage behind Ka’Deem Carey and BJ Denker.

Arizona 42, Cal 21

Nebraska -6 vs. Northwestern

I think the Cornhuskers bounce back from last week’s loss and easily handle a Northwestern team that just isn’t the same without a healthy Kain Colter or Venric Mark.

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Week 9 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 7-4 last week (I accidentally picked 11 games) and I’m hitting 59% on the season (47-34), so heed my advice!

Note: Because I accidentally picked 11 games last week, I’m picking 9 this week.

Auburn -24 vs. Florida Atlantic

The Tigers keep the offense rolling as Nick Marshall has another big day.

Auburn 56, FAU 21

Tennessee +28 at Alabama

This should be an easy game for Bama, but the Vols play hard and should keep this loss fairly respectable.

Alabama 31, Tennessee 10

Texas +2 at TCU

The Longhorns win their fourth in a row as their ground game pounds the Horned Frogs.

Texas 31, TCU 21

Stanford -4 at Oregon State

Sean Mannion comes down to earth a bit and the Cardinal suffocate the Beavers in Corvallis.

Stanford 29, Oregon State 17

Louisiana-Monroe -12 vs. Georgia State

The Panthers remain winless as Brayle Brown has his first stellar game for the Warhawks.

ULM 35, Georgia State 18

Baylor -35.5 at Kansas

If any team stops Baylor this year, it’s not going to be Kansas. I think we’ll see another 60+ point effort.

Baylor 66, Kansas 21

Hawaii +3 vs. Colorado State

After just falling short last week, the Warriors get their first win of the season against the Rams.

Hawaii 34, Colorado State 27

Iowa -4 vs. Northwestern

The Wildcats are reeling and might be without Kain Colter again. Hawkeyes get the win after playing Buckeyes tough last week.

Iowa 24, Northwestern 17

NC State +32 at Florida State

The Wolfpack always seem to play the Seminoles tough and have won two of the last three meetings. FSU will get the win, but won’t cover.

Florida State 41, NC State 14

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