Archive | Weekly Picks RSS feed for this section

Week 10 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 6-2-1 last week (I had accidentally picked 11 games the week prior) and I’m hitting 59.5% on the season (53-36-1), so heed my advice!

Oregon State -4.5 vs. USC

This is probably my lock of the week. USC’s secondary can’t match up with the OSU passing attack and the Trojan offense plods too much to keep up. Huge game for Mannion and Cooks.

Oregon State 38, USC 24

Tennessee +10 at Missouri

Missouri should be deflated after last week’s tough loss to South Carolina, while Tennessee is undervalued because it went into a buzzsaw at Alabama and will now be starting a freshman QB named Josh Dobbs, who’s a talented player. The Vols have a chance to win this one outright.

Missouri 24, Tennessee 21

Georgia -3 vs. Florida

I think the return of Todd Gurley will be the difference in this one and the Bulldogs win easily.

Georgia 27, Florida 16

Michigan +4.5 at Michigan State

These two teams always seem to play it close, but the Spartans aren’t used to being the favorites. I expect the Wolverines to come out of the gate playing at a high level, then hold on for the win.

Michigan 20, Michigan State 17

Minnesota +8 at Indiana

The Gophers are a tough, hard-nosed team and I think they’ll pull the mild upset on the road.

Minnesota 31, Indiana 28

Auburn -8 at Arkansas

Even without Nick Marshall, the Tigers should be fine on offense and move the ball well against a very suspect Arkansas defense.

Auburn 38, Arkansas 27

Hawaii +24 at Utah State

I don’t think Hawaii is going to go winless and the Warriors have been coming close the last three weeks. No win this time, but another close one for Norm Chow’s troops.

Utah State 28, Hawaii 25

Ohio State -32.5 at Purdue

The Buckeyes are in juggernaut mode on offense and will make quick work of the Boilermakers.

Ohio State 52, Purdue 17

Arizona -16.5 at Cal

The Bears continue to be decimated with injuries on defense and the Wildcats will take full advantage behind Ka’Deem Carey and BJ Denker.

Arizona 42, Cal 21

Nebraska -6 vs. Northwestern

I think the Cornhuskers bounce back from last week’s loss and easily handle a Northwestern team that just isn’t the same without a healthy Kain Colter or Venric Mark.

Comments { 0 }

Week 9 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 7-4 last week (I accidentally picked 11 games) and I’m hitting 59% on the season (47-34), so heed my advice!

Note: Because I accidentally picked 11 games last week, I’m picking 9 this week.

Auburn -24 vs. Florida Atlantic

The Tigers keep the offense rolling as Nick Marshall has another big day.

Auburn 56, FAU 21

Tennessee +28 at Alabama

This should be an easy game for Bama, but the Vols play hard and should keep this loss fairly respectable.

Alabama 31, Tennessee 10

Texas +2 at TCU

The Longhorns win their fourth in a row as their ground game pounds the Horned Frogs.

Texas 31, TCU 21

Stanford -4 at Oregon State

Sean Mannion comes down to earth a bit and the Cardinal suffocate the Beavers in Corvallis.

Stanford 29, Oregon State 17

Louisiana-Monroe -12 vs. Georgia State

The Panthers remain winless as Brayle Brown has his first stellar game for the Warhawks.

ULM 35, Georgia State 18

Baylor -35.5 at Kansas

If any team stops Baylor this year, it’s not going to be Kansas. I think we’ll see another 60+ point effort.

Baylor 66, Kansas 21

Hawaii +3 vs. Colorado State

After just falling short last week, the Warriors get their first win of the season against the Rams.

Hawaii 34, Colorado State 27

Iowa -4 vs. Northwestern

The Wildcats are reeling and might be without Kain Colter again. Hawkeyes get the win after playing Buckeyes tough last week.

Iowa 24, Northwestern 17

NC State +32 at Florida State

The Wolfpack always seem to play the Seminoles tough and have won two of the last three meetings. FSU will get the win, but won’t cover.

Florida State 41, NC State 14

Comments { 0 }

Week 8 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 6-4 last week so I’m hitting 57% on the season (40-30), so heed my advice!

Oregon State -11 at California

The Bears are reeling and the Beavers are rolling right now. Expect more of the same on Saturday

Oregon State 56, California 24

Missouri +3 vs. Florida

No one knows much about Maty Mauk, but the guy can throw. I think Mizzou doesn’t skip a beat with him in the lineup this week and the Tigers get the mild upset.

Mizzou 24, Florida 17

Baylor -33 vs. Iowa State

The Bears get that incredible offense back on track at home against the Cyclones. Huge game for Lache Seastrunk.

Baylor 63, Iowa State 21

Oklahoma State -7.5 vs. TCU

The Horned Frogs continue to struggle and OSU finally gets its offense back on track.

OSU 35, TCU 21

Utah +4 at Arizona

Utah keeps its momentum going after last week’s upset of Stanford, slows down Ka’Deem Carey in outright win.

Utah 31, Arizona 27

Ohio -16 at Eastern Michigan

The Bobcats bounce back from last week’s loss to Central Michigan with a good all-around effort vs. Eastern.

Ohio 38, EMU 17

Maryland -6 at Wake Forest

The Terps get CJ Brown back and Stefon Diggs has a big game as Maryland rolls.

Maryland 31, Wake Forest 17

Ohio State -18 vs. Iowa

The Buckeyes are well-rested after a bye week. Braxton Miller with the monster game as OSU takes it to the Hawkeyes.

Ohio State 45, Iowa 17

Georgia -6.5 at Vanderbilt

The Bulldogs bounce back after the upset loss to Mizzou as Aaron Murray comes through once again.

Georgia 27, Vanderbilt 17

OVER 63.5 Florida State at Clemson

Not sure who will win this one, but I think points will be scored a-plenty. Let’s give the edge to the home team in a barn burner.

Clemson 41, Florida State 38

Stanford -4.5 vs. UCLA

Lots of people picking the Bruins in an upset, but Stanford’s defense is too good (and proud) to get taken advantage of two weeks in a row. Stanford gets serious and comes away with the solid win.

Stanford 34, UCLA 24

Comments { 2 }

Week 7 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I had my first losing week of the season last week, going 4-6, but I’m still hitting 57% on the season (34-26), so heed my advice!

Here are this week’s picks:

Texas A&M -6.5 at Mississippi

Johnny Football had two weeks to prepare and I think the Aggies come out on fire in this one. I think we’ll see lots of scoring with A&M pulling away at the end.

Texas A&M 45, Ole Miss35

Stanford -9 at Utah

The Utes just don’t have the dynamism to attack the Stanford defense. Meanwhile, I think the Cardinal will snap back from a tepid offensive performance last week.

Stanford 34, Utah 13

LSU -7 vs. Florida

Florida has excellent corners and this will be a tough challenge for Zach Mettenberger, but I think the wheels come off Tyler Murphy a bit and LSU asserts itself on defense.

LSU 24, Florida 14

Oregon -13 at Washington

I think Washington invested a lot in its loss to Stanford last week. That was a game that better-suited UW’s style. This one, not so much. The Huskies get some points but can’t stop the Oregon juggernaut.

Oregon 52, Washington 35

Northwestern +10 at Wisconsin

The Wildcats nearly pulled off the upset of Ohio State last week and I think they’ll bounce back and beat Wisconsin outright as Venric Mark has a big game.

Northwestern 27, Wisconsin 24

Alabama -27 at Kentucky

The Tide are quietly putting together a nice stretch of defense, having allowed no touchdowns in its last 12 quarters. I think there’s a chance that streak goes to 16 against the Wildcats.

Alabama 38, Kentucky 9

Oregon State +2 at Washington State

I’m a little surprised that WSU is favored in this one. Sean Mannion has another huge day and the Beavers get the mild upset.

Oregon State 42, Washington State 28

Boise State -7 at Utah State

Without Chuckie Keeton, I don’t think Utah State will get much done on offense. Joe Southwick should play well and lead the Broncos to an easy win.

Boise State 31, Utah State 10

Nebraska -15 at Purdue

The Cornhuskers are actually starting to roll a bit with Tommy Armstrong at QB. But Taylor Martinez should also be back from injury as well and the Nebraska offense should overwhelm Purdue.

Nebraska 49, Purdue 21

Baylor -17.5 at Kansas State

The Wildcats have played fairly tough the past two weeks but I don’t think they can stop the Baylor offense. The Bears won’t score 70, but they’ll score over 45 and win this one going away.

Baylor 52, Kansas State 27

Comments { 0 }

Week 6 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 6-4 in my picks last week and I’m hitting 60% on the season (30-20), so heed my advice!

I’m out of town at a wedding so just doing the picks without commentary.

Clemson -14 at Syracuse

Miami -6.5 vs. Georgia Tech

Oregon -40 at Colorado

Arkansas +13 at Florida

Oklahoma -9 vs. TCU

Stanford -9 vs. Washington

OVER 57 points Auburn vs. Ole MIss

Arizona State -6.5 at Notre Dame

UCF -10 at Memphis

North Carolina +8 at Virginia Tech

Comments { 0 }

Week 5 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 6-4 in my picks last week and I’m hitting 60% on the season, so heed my advice!

Last week against the spread: 6-4

Season record against the spread: 24-16 (.600)

Florida State -23 at Boston College

Too much talent disparity in this one. Florida State will score early and often and drop BC to 2-2 on the year. Another big game for Jameis Winston.

Florida State 45, Boston College 14

Minnesota +2 vs. Iowa

Minnesota has found its quarterback in freshman Mitch Leidner. I look for the Gophers to play mistake-free, fundamentally-sound football and score the mild upset.

Minnesota 31, Iowa 27

Arizona State -5 vs. USC

USC has struggled against the weakest part of its schedule and now must take a step up in class against a talented Sun Devils squad. Look for Marion Grice and Jaelen Strong to have big games as ASU rolls.

Arizona State 27, USC 10

Oklahoma -3.5 at Notre Dame

Week 2 of the Bell Dozer under center will continue to pay dividends and the Sooners will have just enough offense to grind out a win against a tough Irish front seven.

Oklahoma 21, Notre Dame 17

OVER 58.5 points, Colorado at Oregon State

These are two offensively skilled teams with suspect defenses. To me, that spells a lot of points which is why I’ll take the OVER.  Oregon State wins over a much-improved Colorado squad.

Oregon State 42, Colorado 31

Stanford -9 at Washington State

The WSU defense is pretty solid, especially the front line, but it’s never wise to get into a slugfest in the trenches against Stanford. The Cardinal will methodically tear the Cougars apart and win going away.

Stanford 31, Washington State 13

Texas A&M -14 at Arkansas

It’s really simple here: Arkansas can’t stop Texas A&M and the Razorbacks are not the same offensively without quarterback Brandon Allen, who may or may not play. Either way, Arkansas can’t keep up.

Texas A&M 52, Arkansas 24

Alabama -14 vs. Mississippi

The Ole Miss scheme plus Bo Wallace isn’t enough to make up for the talent disparity that exists between the two teams. Now that it’s back in SEC play, Alabama will cut down on mistakes and play closer to its potential.

Alabama 42, Ole Miss 21

OVER 62, Arizona at Washington

We should see a lot of offense from these two teams and I expect a wild one up in Seattle. Washington has more weapons, though, and should pull out the win.

Washington 41, Arizona 31

Pitt -5 vs. Virginia

Pitt is slowly putting together a nice little offense based around senior quarterback Tom Savage and a couple freshmen, running back James Conner and receiver Tyler Boyd. I don’t think Virginia can keep them in check.

Pittsburgh 35, Virginia 24

Comments { 1 }

Week 4 picks

Time to reveal my plays of the week. These are the 10 games I would bet on if I were a degenerate gambler. For those who don’t know already, the first team listed is my pick, unless it’s an over/under selection. Odds provided by DocSports. If I were you, I’d bet on these games. You can thank me (or hate me) later. I went 4-6 in my picks last week but I’m still hitting 60% on the season, so heed my advice!

Last week against the spread: 4-6

Season record against the spread: 18-12 (.600)

OVER 58 North Carolina at Georgia Tech

The Yellowjackets defense has been great so far but now it will have to take a step up in class going against a UNC offense that has a lot of weapons. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels have struggled the last couple years against Georgia Tech’s offensive scheme. I look for this one to be a shootout with UNC coming out on top in the end. Take the OVER.

North Carolina 42, Georgia Tech 38

Minnesota -3.5 vs. San Jose State

The Gophers don’t seem to be affected by Jerry Kill’s seizures. They are a fundamentally sound team that doesn’t make many mistakes. David Fales has gotten off to a slow start and I think the Spartan offense struggles again in this one.

Minnesota 27, San Jose State 17

Baylor -30.5 vs. Louisiana-Monroe

The Baylor offensive machine should have another huge day against ULM and I think Lache Seastrunk gets his first 200-yard game of the season.

Baylor 62, ULM 21

Utah State +7 at USC

Chuckie Keeton has a huge day against a tired USC defense and the Aggies pull off the upset win in the Coliseum, which may precipitate the end of the Lane Kiffin era a couple days later.

Utah State 31, USC 28

Oregon State -8 at San Diego State

One thing that’s for sure is that the Beavers know how to score. With the Aztecs struggling on offense, I think the OSU defense steps to the plate with a solid game, too. Another huge day for Sean Mannion is in the works.

Oregon State 42, San Diego State 20

OVER 55 Auburn at LSU

I don’t think Auburn will be able to stop LSU’s usually methodical offense from scoring at will in this one. Meanwhile, Gus Malzahn will have a few tricks up his sleeve and make this fun for a while before the Bayou Bengals pull away.

LSU 42, Auburn 24

UCLA -42 vs. New Mexico State

UCLA’s offense should score 42 in the first half alone and then cruise to 60. The Bruins should rush for 350-plus yards.

UCLA 66, New Mexico State 17

OVER 62 Utah at BYU

There’s a lot of firepower in this game with two playmaking quarterbacks in Travis Wilson and Taysom Hill. I think it’ll be a shootout with Utah winning in the end thanks to Wilson’s dual-threat magic.

Utah 45, BYU 38

OVER 79 Texas A&M vs. SMU

The Aggies should be ornery after losing last week to Bama and I believe they’ll take it out offensively on SMU. But the Mustangs have the ability to put up points and I think they’ll do so in the second half to top the point total.

Texas A&M 65, SMU 21

Stanford -6 vs. Arizona State

The Cardinal have been vanilla on offense and bored on defense in the first two games, but they will be up to the challenge against the Sun Devils. I look for Stanford to put the clamps down on the ASU offense while Kevin Hogan has a big day passing.

Stanford 33, Arizona State 21

Comments { 2 }