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Louisville should promote Teddy Bridgewater for the Heisman (whether he likes it or not)

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Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater drew attention recently for announcing that he wishes to bypass a Heisman campaign this fall in favor of focusing on team goals.

“The Heisman isn’t a goal of mine,” he told Eric Crawford of WDRB in Louisville. “A team effort, a national championship, a BCS game, those are our goals.”

Cardinals coach Charlie Strong backed up his star.

“We’re going to let Teddy go and play,” Strong told WDRB. “Teddy doesn’t want to let people down, and he doesn’t want all of the attention. He wants to win first and foremost.”

It’s an admirable and well-intentioned move by the rising junior, who led his team to an 11-2 record and a Sugar Bowl win over Florida last season. But is it the right move?

Nope.

In fact, Louisville should politely ignore Bridgewater’s request and promote him anyway.

But before getting to the specifics of why, it’s important to address the subject of campaigns in the first place.

A rather odd mentality has taken shape over the years regarding the idea of marketing in college football. Coaches who lobby for their teams to be ranked highly in the polls are considered out of bounds or acting in poor taste. Schools that push their players for postseason honors are seen as tacky and uncouth. Heisman campaigns in particular draw the ire of media and sports information directors alike, with both sides usually poo-pooing the notion they have any effect on the award’s outcome.

But there are two reasons companies, politicians and other public entities spend billions of dollars every year on marketing and public relations campaigns.

1. They work.

2. It’s in their best interest.

So why should it be any different for college football? After all, this is a sport where media and coaches, via the polls, help determine the outcome of the season. All-American teams are really popularity contests (remember when Central Michigan’s Eric Fisher, the first pick in the recent NFL draft, was named a consensus first-team All-American? Yeah, me neither). The Heisman is voted upon by 926 voters who are given no set criteria to fill their ballots other than to select the player they deem to be the “most outstanding.”

In what world is it considered smart to not chime in when others are left to decide your fate, especially when millions of dollars are at stake? Only in college football’s world, apparently. Would a toothpaste company not let people know why its product is superior? Would a politician not tell voters of her qualifications for office, or explain why she is better than her opponent?

Of course not.

Because there is so much subjectivity in college football, the teams and players with the established brands have a distinct advantage. Schools like Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, USC and Alabama (among others) spent decades building their programs, often before limits were put in place to establish parity.

They are now the Coke, General Motors and AT&Ts of the sport. People who follow college football equate these names with sustained success and excellence. As a result, they generally get the benefit of the doubt over lesser schools when it comes time to rankings, awards and honors.

That’s why a school like Louisville must strike now, while it still has a Bridgewater to brag about. Having a player of his caliber on the roster gives the Cardinals a unique shot at building its brand.

Winning a Heisman can go a long way toward doing that. Just ask Boston College or Baylor.

Oh, that doesn’t mean the school has to send out bobbleheads or some other gimmick in support of its star. It merely has to follow the successful examples of previous campaigns that found some kind of compelling hook or narrative to capture voters’ imaginations.

Think of Texas sports information director Jones Ramsey’s invention of “yards after contact” to illustrate the power of running back Earl Campbell in 1977. Or how Charles Woodson was promoted as a throwback to the one-platoon era when he won in 1997.

It’s not cheesy or improper to note these things. If done right, it can be informative and insightful.

Sometimes a bold step or two should be taken if the opportunity presents itself.

Oregon was ridiculed in many circles back in 2001 for putting up a giant billboard of quarterback Joey Harrington in New York’s Times Square that read “Joey Heisman.” Was it overboard? Maybe a little.

But the advent of the juggernaut that is the current Oregon program can be traced to that bold decision. It sent a clear signal that the Ducks were going “all-in” to become a power. And that’s what happened, even if Harrington didn’t win the Heisman.

Of course, Heisman campaigns aren’t always necessary.

Johnny Manziel didn’t have one last year and didn’t even speak to the media until the very end of the season. But he also had 5,116 yards of total offense and 47 combined touchdowns rushing and passing — numbers that were a campaign unto themselves.

Bridgewater isn’t going to have 5,000 yards of offense. The Louisville scheme doesn’t work that way. If all goes right, he’ll have a highly-efficient, very productive year that probably won’t touch the outlandish numbers being put up by this era’s spread quarterbacks.

So he’ll need some sort of campaign to let people know that, despite his decidedly ungarish stats, he’s still the best quarterback in the country. It’s a tough argument to make, which is one reason Andrew Luck didn’t win the Heisman. Having the ability to expertly check off to a run play doesn’t thrill voters.

Without a smart campaign, the brilliance that is Bridgewater could be overshadowed by next season’s next big thing.

What about the team?

What about Bridgewater’s unselfish desire to keep the focus there, where it belongs?

These are nice sentiments for May. It shows Bridgewater’s great attitude. There’s no downside to him having this mentality.

But don’t believe for a second he doesn’t want to win the Heisman.

Louisville shouldn’t believe him either. Nor should it care. For his own good, for its own good, it eventually needs to let everyone know why he’s so special.

Or, it can just hold off until the next Teddy Bridgewater comes along.

It might be a long wait.

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Is Blake Bell the top Heisman dark horse for 2013?

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Quarterback. Check.

Traditional power. Check.

Junior with some name recognition (and a cool moniker to boot). Check.

Excellent physical measurables that have yet to be fully realized. Check.

If you are looking for a Heisman dark horse for 2013, Oklahoma quarterback Blake Bell might be your best bet.

There are usually two types of Heisman candidates. The first type has already established himself as a legitimate player and is merely building upon an already-impressive resume. The other type bursts onto the scene with a huge year and becomes an instant candidate.

Here’s why I think Bell has a chance to be the latter.

We already know about his running ability. The 6-foot-6, 250-pound Bell has 24 rushing touchdowns in his first two seasons working primarily as a goal line specialist.

If he takes full-time snaps, those numbers should increase as a junior.

But his biggest improvement should come as a passer.

Bell has thrown a grand total of 20 passes in his career. So what can we expect of Bell in Oklahoma’s offense?

Well, if the recent past is any indication, we should expect some big things.

In the last six seasons, Oklahoma quarterbacks have averaged 501 pass attempts per year. That includes a low of 341 attempts by Sam Bradford in 2007 and a high of 617 attempts by Landry Jones in 2010.

OU quarterbacks during this time also averaged 8.2 yards per pass attempt, with a high of 9.8 by Bradford in 2008 and a low of 7.1 by Jones in 2009.

Finally, Jones and Bradford averaged a completion percentage of 65 percent, with the high being Bradford’s 69.5 in 2007 and the low Jones’s 58.1 in 2009.

So, the questions before us when trying to determine what kind of passing year Bell will have are: (1) How many passes will he attempt? (2) What will be his yards per attempt? and (3) What will be his completion percentage?

Let’s assume that, because of more mobility at quarterback and the increased emphasis on the run in the OU scheme, Bell averages just 30 pass attempts per game. That would bring his season total to roughly 400 attempts.

Let’s also assume that Bell hits on a solid, but not spectacular, 7.5 yards per attempt.

Finally, let’s say he completes 60 percent of his passes and 10 percent of those completions go for touchdowns.

That would result in a season that looks like this: 3,000 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. If Bell as a full-timer player rushes for 500 yards (which is completely realistic) and another 15 scores, we are looking at a player with 40 combined touchdowns.

As we know from looking at recent Heisman history, a quarterback becomes a legit candidate at about 45 total touchdowns. If Bell overachieves in his first year as a starter — say he attempts 450 passes and completes 66 percent of them at an 8-yard per attempt clip — then he’ll have 3,600 passing yards with 30 touchdown tosses. Add to that his likely production on the ground and we are looking at a quarterback from a traditional power with around 45 total touchdowns.

If that kind of year happens, he’ll be a lock to go to New York.

Will it happen? That is the question. Perhaps Bell will be wildly inconsistent or perhaps he’ll get beaten out by another highly-talented and mobile Sooners quarterback, Trevor Knight (who also has the potential to put up the same kind of numbers we’re musing about, eventually).

But, if Bell follows the path of recent OU signal callers, we’re likely to see some pretty good passing totals. Add in his already-established rushing credentials and we’re looking at a player who has a legit shot of putting up Tebow-like numbers for a traditional power.

And that’s why he might be the top dark horse on my post-spring Heisman Watch List.

 

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The 2013 HeismanPundit/CBSSports.com Heisman Trophy Watch List (post-spring edition)

Reigning Heisman winner Johnny Manziel of Texas A&M highlights the first edition of the 2013 Heismanpundit/CBSSports.com Heisman Trophy Watch List released on Thursday.

The prestigious annual list gives football fans an early glimpse at a great crop of Heisman contenders for the coming season. This year’s post-spring watch contains 30 players.

Heismanpundit/CBSSports.com will consider other players for the 2013 Heisman Trophy Watch List and will also delete players as the season progresses.

The Heisman Trophy, presented annually since 1935, is the most prestigious award in sports.  It is named after famed college football coach John W. Heisman.

The 2013 winner will be announced in New York on Saturday, Dec. 14.

The 2013 Heismanpundit/CBSSports.com Heisman Trophy Watch List (post spring edition)

(in alphabetical order)

Ameer Abdullah, Jr., RB, Nebraska

David Ash, Jr., QB, Texas

Blake Bell, Jr., QB, Oklahoma

Tajh Boyd, Sr., QB, Clemson

Teddy Bridgewater, Jr., QB, Louisiville

Ka’deem Carey, Jr., RB, Arizona

Derek Carr, Sr., QB, Fresno State

Jadeveon Clowney, Jr., DE, South Carolina

Stefon Diggs, So., WR, Maryland

Cody Fajardo, Jr., QB, Nevada

David Fales, Sr., QB, San Jose State

Devin Gardner, Jr., QB, Michigan

Everett Golson, So., QB, Notre Dame

Todd Gurley, So., RB, Georgia

Kevin Hogan, So., QB, Stanford

Brett Hundley, So., QB, UCLA

Duke Johnson, So., RB, Miami

Chuckie Keeton, Jr., QB, Utah State

Marqise Lee, Jr., WR, USC

Jordan Lynch, Sr., QB, Northern Illinois

Johnny Manziel, So., QB, Texas A&M

Marcus Mariota, So., QB, Oregon

Venric Mark, Sr., RB, Northwestern

Taylor Martinez, Sr., QB, Nebraska

AJ McCarron, Sr., QB, Alabama

Aaron Murray, Sr., QB, Georgia

Braxton Miller, Jr., QB, Ohio State

Lache Seastrunk, Jr., RB, Baylor

De’Anthony Thomas, Jr., RB, Oregon

TJ Yeldon, So., RB, Alabama

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Report: Spurrier had Clowney on his ballot

It’s not really a surprise that Steve Spurrier had Jadeveon Clowney on his Heisman ballot last year. After all, Clowney did finish sixth in the overall vote and the big end is one of Spurrier’s players.

I find this quote from Spurrier pretty interesting, though:

“It’s hard for a defensive player to do a whole lot. He had the big hit against Michigan, and other than that, their offensive tackle blocked him pretty well. When you’ve got a couple of guys blocking one guy, it’s hard to take over a ballgame.”

This quote goes to the heart of why it will always be next-to-impossible for a defensive player to win the Heisman. Here we get an admission that, other than the spectacular play, Clowney was blocked pretty well by Michigan’s tackle. And when he was double-teamed, it made it that much harder.

This is what Clowney must overcome. Not only is it hard for him to affect a game from his position, he will also be schemed against when he DOES start to affect a game. What do you do when Clowney beats your tackle for two early sacks?  You double team him and then maybe you don’t hear from him again.

Meanwhile, the quarterback touches the ball on every play. A running back might get 30 touches.

A defensive end only has a couple moments to shine. Unless he makes the most of them, then he is put on the back burner.

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Dennis Dodd’s open letter to the Heisman Trust

Long-time Heisman voter and colleague Dennis Dodd is giving up his Heisman vote due to the trust’s short-sighted policy of punishing voters who reveal their choices before the ceremony.

Dodd wrote a powerful letter to those in charge of the trophy:

To: William Dockery
President, Heisman Trust
17 Battery Place, Suite 1226
New York, NY 10004

Bill:

I respectfully resign my Heisman vote effective immediately.

This is my way of getting out on my own terms before the Heisman Trustees can throw me out. Monday is the deadline in your organization’s ham-handed attempt (in my opinion) to make secret a process that has been a joyful, celebrated American sports tradition for decades.

As you know, in August voters were notified if they didn’t agree to hide their Heisman ballots, voting privileges would be up for review. A heretofore unenforced “non-disclosure requirement” was mentioned.

Last month about 50 of the 928 voters from 2012 were admonished for revealing their ballots. I was one of them. Your letter arrived with the names “Johnny Manziel,” “Manti Teo” and “Collin Klein” highlighted from my column with a yellow marker like I had cheated in class.

We had until April 8 to atone for our sins — aka promise “in writing” we would hide our ballots from public consumption after the voting deadline (early December). Even then, you stated regional and state representatives “will take your explanation into consideration when determining the 2013 electorate.”

So this is what Heisman double-secret probation feels like. It’s not worth it. Not like this: Bill, it seems that you didn’t send letters to all the “violators.” I know that. I’ve received at least one call from a media member who did the same thing as me — wrote about his ballot for an annual column. So now we have a case of a previously unenforced non-disclosure agreement being applied arbitrarily.

But let’s forget that for a second. Having voted for at least 15 years, I/we at least deserved an explanation for this sudden change of protocol. I contacted all nine Heisman trustees, including you. They are captains of law, finance and industry. Eight did not return my phone messages and/or emails.

Richard Kalikow of Manchester Real Estate and Construction in New York was kind enough to spend a few minutes on the phone. Mr. Kalikow explained that while he remembers the trustees making such a decision he didn’t remember when, or many details.

“We want to keep it [voting] under wraps like the Oscars or another announcement,” Mr. Kalikow said. “We don’t want any announcements going out before the television announcement.”

That raised an important question. Did ESPN pressure the trustees to make this decision? The Heisman show has drawn record ratings lately and would seemingly be unaffected by 50 voters revealing their ballots less than a week before the announcement. I was told by Mr. Kalikow and a Heisman spokesman there was no interference from ESPN.

Good.

As for the Oscar analogy, we are talking statuettes and stiff arms, Bill. Two different things. If you mean that careers are sometimes made and lost on who wins an Oscar and a Heisman, then yes, they are the same.

If you mean the voting processes are similar, then no. According to this website, Oscar nominees are decided the same way the Cambridge, Mass. City Council is elected, the same way the Australian Senate and parliament of Ireland are elected.

The same way we elect a president. It’s called a proportional voting system and I have little idea what it means. I do know that when I voted for the Heisman, Deliotte and Touche handled the ballots and that was pretty much good enough for everyone. Now with all the ballots in one big secret pot, we’ll just have to — like the Oscars — take the accountants’ word for it.

It’s called transparency, Bill, and there is precious little of it these days in college athletics. I am resigning my vote because I cannot in good conscience participate in a process where there is more secrecy, not less. You may have noticed, there’s a huge need to keep things on the up and up in college athletics these days. The world has become a very skeptical place because of the implied words from the NCAA: “Trust us.”

There’s something wrong with O.J. Simpson still having a vote (as a former winner) and a bunch of slappy sportswriters in danger of losing theirs. A Heisman vote is not a right. I get that. But someone must still explain to me why, after 70-plus years of not invoking the non-disclosure clause, the Heisman Trust is using it as some sort of threat against loyal voters.

A threat that has become selective and unfair, considering all the voters who “violated” policy were not contacted.

“Then maybe that was an oversight on our part that we didn’t know all the people who revealed their ballots,” Kalikow said. “Everybody should have gotten a letter, probably.”

We both know, Bill, there are Heisman voters who have a hard time telling the difference between a first down and a spatula. Perhaps that’s unfair too, to those of us who care — care enough to make a special trip to the Downtown Athletic Club to survey the damage post-9/11.

This was in 2002 or 2003. The DAC was close to Ground Zero. The resulting devastation eventually reached all the way to Heisman finances. That day I crossed yellow police tape, alone, to enter the lobby of a building that held so much history.

Thankfully, the Heisman recovered to attract new sponsors and post those record TV ratings. A sophomore won the award for the first time, then a freshman. All that with us freely writing and talking about the Heisman. All of it publicizing your award, Bill.

That’s why I do know that secret ballots or not, we’re going to know the Heisman winner in advance nine times out of 10. It’s America. It’s the Heisman. It’s unique. We the people actually love that process.

Hiding things will never change the fact that voters can still anonymously divulge their ballots. I suggest you check out stiffarmtrophy.com which has predicted the Heisman winner for 11 consecutive years. There was even a way for me to keep my vote. I simply could have agreed to hide it, and write after the deadline, “I have filed my ballot and agreed to keep it secret. But if I were to divulge it, I’d be strongly leaning toward …”

Not worth it for me. Either everything is out in the open or nothing is. Lack of transparency is what has NCAA critics howling. But forget about me. Any Heisman process that doesn’t have CBSSports.com’s Tony Barnhart as a part of it, isn’t worth participating in. Mr. CFB has given up his vote too.

So, what’s the point? Heisman speculation is a cottage industry. It’s not going away. Neither are those record ratings on ESPN.

Bill, please don’t do this. The Heisman is about to lose some of its luster. The Reggie Bush debacle was bad enough. This just brings unneeded negative attention to an American tradition that ranks right up there with Chevrolet and apple pie.

Hope to speak to you about this further. You should have my number. I know you have my address.

There’s nothing more that I can add to this eloquent letter. All I can do is co-sign.

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10 players whose numbers should explode in 2013

We already know who the big names in college football are heading into the 2013 season. Players like Johnny Manziel, Jadeveon Clowney, A.J. McCarron, Marqise Lee and Aaron Murray will be the focus of much of the preseason hype. And rightfully so, as they’ve proven themselves on the field time and time again.

But new stars are constantly emerging in college football and we’re sure to be talking about a whole different crop of players a year from now.

We can already discern which players will fit that bill based on what they’ve shown us so far. To that end, here are 10 players whose numbers should explode in 2013. If all goes right, we could be talking about them competing for the Heisman:

Lache Seastrunk, RB, Baylor – Few backs closed out the 2012 season as well as Seastrunk did. The 5-foot-10, 205-pounder rattled off 831 yards in his last six games, averaging 8.1 yards per carry along the way. He finished the year with 1,012 yards despite toting the ball just 29 times in his first six games. Although backfield mate Glasco Martin will still get his share of carries, look for Seastrunk to get the bulk of the work. If that happens, an 1,800-plus-yard season could be in the offing.

Kevin Hogan, QB, Stanford – Hogan was the catalyst for Stanford’s strong finish in 2012. The redshirt freshman started the last six games at quarterback for the Cardinal and performed well, completing almost 72 percent of his passes for 1,087 yards and eight touchdowns during that stretch (he also added 247 yards rushing). With a year of experience under his belt and a better understanding of Stanford’s offense, he should triple his production and blossom into one of the best quarterbacks in the country this fall.

T.J. Yeldon, RB, Alabama – Yeldon was phenomenal as a freshman, rushing for 1,108 yards and 12 touchdowns as a backup to Eddie Lacy. Well, Lacy’s 204 carries and 1,322 yards have now gone to the NFL, which means Yeldon should become the feature back in Alabama’s run-heavy system. A truckload of talented freshman runners will no doubt vie for some of Lacy’s carries, but Yeldon’s experience should win the day, especially in the early going. Look for Yeldon to easily top what Lacy did last year.

Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson – Watkins was incredible as a freshman, catching 83 passes for 1,225 yards and 12 touchdowns. However, suspensions and injuries hampered his production as a sophomore and he managed just 57 catches for 708 yards and three touchdowns. Clemson didn’t really miss a beat, though, as DeAndre Hopkins stepped up with a monster season. With Hopkins gone to the NFL and Watkins no doubt angling to join him in next year’s draft, we should see the return of the Watkins of old this fall. If he stays healthy and out of trouble, he should double his production from last season.

Nelson Agholor, WR, USC – Biletnikoff winner Marqise Lee is back for another go-around at USC, but he’ll be lining up this fall without Robert Woods on the opposite side. Agholor, a talented sophomore, is a good bet to easily replace the 76 catches Woods brought to the table. After all, he’s sure to get lots of single coverage. After a 19-catch freshman season, Agholor should emerge as one of the best receivers in the Pac-12 in 2013.

Kiehl Frazier, QB, Auburn – The physically gifted Frazier had a disastrous sophomore season, passing for just 753 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for -35 yards as the Tigers went 3-9. The return of Gus Malzahn should make a huge difference since Frazier is not only familiar with his system but also well-suited for it. Don’t be surprised if Frazier is the most improved player in the SEC this fall. He’s got the tools to be a 3,000-yard passer and a 1,000-yard rusher.

Duke Johnson, RB, Miami – Johnson was lightning in a bottle for the Hurricanes as a true freshman, rushing for 947 yards and 10 touchdowns while totaling 2,060 all-purpose yards. Mike James and his 147 carries have graduated, so Johnson should get plenty more looks come fall. If he he can handle the increased reps, he’ll end up with the best year by a Miami running back since Willis McGahee rushed for 1,753 yards in 2002.

Devin Gardner, QB, Michigan – Gardner had the misfortune of spending much of his career backing up one of the most exciting players in college football history, Denard Robinson. But, last season, Gardner finally got his chance to shine. He started the last five games at quarterback for the Wolverines and his numbers were pretty good as he threw for 1,219 yards with 11 touchdowns and a 161 passer rating. He also chipped in another 101 yards rushing. Given that trajectory, it’s not hard to imagine Gardner developing into an elite quarterback with a full season under center.

Blake Bell, QB, Oklahoma – The ‘Belldozer’ has already scored 24 career touchdowns as a short-yardage specialist, but his experience as a passer is limited, with just 20 attempts in two seasons. If, as expected, he earns the nod as the starting quarterback, he’ll have no problem putting up big numbers in the Sooners’ passer-friendly system. The 6-foot-6 254-pounder has the skill set to have Tebow-esque production. He just needs the chance to do it.

Connor Halliday, QB, Washington State – It’s not a stretch to think that a Mike Leach quarterback should put up video game-like numbers. Halliday, a junior, shared the quarterback duties with Jeff Tuel last season and passed for 1,878 yards and 15 touchdowns, but he should have the position to himself this fall. Look for Leach’s system to bear more fruit in Year 2 as Halliday doubles his production.

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Jadeveon Clowney wants to go to New York

In this brave new world of freshmen winning the Heisman trophy and linebackers finishing second, is there room for a 6-foot-6, 260-pound pterodactyl-like defensive end to compete for the most coveted award in sports?

South Carolina’s Jadeveon Clowney thinks so.

The rising junior already has a Hendricks Award honoring the nation’s best defensive end under his belt. He was also a finalist for the Nagurski and Lombardi trophies and a unanimous All-American selection in 2012.

When it came time for the Heisman, he finished sixth in the vote, landing atop four ballots while totaling 61 points.

His goal for next year? To win the Heisman or at least get to New York as a finalist.

“That’s my next thing to get to, New York,” he said. “So next season I’m going to come here and work harder than I did this season.”

That could be a frightening prospect for SEC offenses. Clowney tied for the national lead in sacks in 2012 with 13 and was second in tackles for loss with 21.5. He also forced two fumbles and deflected a couple passes while making 50 tackles.

Can Clowney improve on those numbers?

He’s going to have to if he wants to make it to New York as a finalist. It definitely helps that he finished sixth this past season and that the success of Manti Te’o, Tyrann Mathieu and Ndamukong Suh has in recent seasons has made defensive Heisman candidates somewhat more palatable.

Clowney might have more Heisman potential than any of these other guys, though. He came into college as the nation’s top recruit, so his name recognition among media is very high. He’s also likely to benefit from buzz about him being the likely No. 1 pick in the 2014 NFL draft. The last defensive end to make a serious run at the Heisman was Pittsburgh’s Hugh Green. He finished second in 1980 thanks to 17 sacks and 123 tackles (I believe tackle stats were doled out a little more generously back then).

But if Clowney can better his 2012 numbers and help South Carolina duplicate its recent success, he can definitely make it to New York. Can he win? That’s going to be a tough proposition. A lot of unlikely things had to line up this season for a redshirt freshman to win. The Heisman race would have to be even more chaotic in 2013 to pave the way for the first pure defender to take home the trophy.

As we’ve seen in recent years, however, crazy things can — and will — happen in college football.

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