Breaking down the 2013 Heisman vote

photo (49)

This was a very interesting Heisman vote, particularly the 2nd thru 6th spots.

Here is the breakdown by region:

Northeast Pos. Total Points
Jameis Winston 1 339
Andre Williams 2 132
AJ McCarron 3 130
Jordan Lynch 4 88
Johnny Manziel 5 56
Tre Mason 6 44

 

Mid-Atlantic Pos. Total Points
Jameis Winston 1 366
AJ McCarron 2 112
Andre Williams 3 89
Jordan Lynch 4 80
Tre Mason 5 71
Johnny Manziel 6 63

 

South Pos. Total Points
Jameis Winston 1 390
AJ McCarron 2 128
Tre Mason 3 106
Johnny Manziel 4 93
Jordan Lynch 5 69
Andre Williams 6 65

 

Southwest Pos. Total Points
Jameis Winston 1 395
Johnny Manziel 2 105
AJ McCarron 3 104
Jordan Lynch 4 93
Tre Mason 5 91
Andre Williams 6 56

 

Midwest Pos. Total Points
Jameis Winston 1 353
Jordan Lynch 2 116
AJ McCarron 3 102
Andre Williams 4 72
Tre Mason 5 57
Johnny Manziel 6 50

 

Far West Pos. Total Points
Jameis Winston 1 362
AJ McCarron 2 128
Jordan Lynch 3 112
Andre Williams 4 56
Johnny Manziel 5 54
Tre Mason 8 35

Note: Ka’Deem Carey of Arizona finished sixth in the Far West.

Percentage of tabulated ballots on which the top 6 were named:

Winston — 87%
McCarron — 43%
Lynch — 37%
Williams — 32%
Manziel — 29%
Mason — 25%

Percentage of ballots received by week:

Week 1 — 1%
Week 2 — 18%*
Week 3 — 81%

* — represents all ballots received before games started on Dec. 7, 2013.

Number of ballots received and tabulated — 900 of 928 (97%)

Number of players receiving votes, by place:

First — 15 players
Second — 24
Third — 41
Total players receiving votes — 47
(39 received votes in 2012)

  • Winston is the second freshman to win the Heisman
  • He is the 14th Heisman winner to exceed 2,000 total points
  • He received 668 first place votes, which is 9th all time.
  • Winston had the 7th largest margin of victory at 1,501 points.
  • He received 82% of the total possible points based on ballots received.
  • He is the 19th winner from an undefeated team (regular season).
  • At 19 years, 342 days, he is the youngest player to win the Heisman.

That’s all for tonight. We’ll have more breakdown of the vote tomorrow.

Comments { 8 }

Jameis Winston wins 2013 Heisman Trophy

 photo (48)

Florida State redshirt freshman quarterback Jameis Winston won the 2013 Heisman Trophy on Saturday night, capturing the prestigious award by a landslide margin.

He’s the third Seminole to win the Heisman, joining 1993 winner Charlie Ward and 2000 winner Chris Weinke.

Winston swept the six Heisman voting regions and totaled 2,205 points, 1,501 points ahead of runner up A.J. McCarron of Alabama. It was the seventh-largest margin of victory in Heisman history.

Jordan Lynch of Northern Illinois placed third, Andrew Williams of Boston College was fourth, Johnny Manziel of Texas A&M was fifth and Tre Mason of Auburn was sixth.

Winston was left off of 115 ballots.

Here’s the top 10 in the vote:

Player 1st 2nd 3rd Total Points
Jameis Winston 668 84 33 2,205
AJ McCarron 79 162 143 704
Jordan Lynch 40 149 140 558
Andre Williams 29 127 129 470
Johnny Manziel 30 103 125 421
Tre Mason 31 121 69 404
Bryce Petty 4 40 35 127
Derek Carr 6 23 43 107
Braxton Miller 4 21 37 91
Ka’Deem Carey 2 14 36 70
Comments { 0 }

Almost time for the show

The start of the 2013 Heisman ceremony is less than an hour away. Here’s all six finalists with the Heisman Trophy, together in their suits for the first time:

photo (46)

Comments { 0 }

HP’s Final Projection

It’s Heisman Saturday, which means it’s time for my prediction on how the final vote will fall.

We know who’s going to win. The intrigue is over who will occupy the two through six spots. The first projection is my own. The second projection is from my straw poll.

2013 HeismanPundit Heisman Projection

Player Place Best Region Worst Region Projected Points
Jameis Winston 1 Mid Atlantic South 2,200 – 2,400 points
Jordan Lynch 2 Midwest South 500 – 600 points
Tre Mason 3 South Midwest 450 – 550 points
Andre Williams 4 Northeast South 400 – 500 points
Johnny Manziel 5 Southwest Mid-Atlantic 350 – 450 points
AJ McCarron 6 South Midwest 250 – 350 points
Bryce Petty 7 Southwest South 75 – 125 points
Marcus Mariota 8 Far West South 50 – 100 points
Derek Carr 9 Far West South 30 – 80 points
Braxton Miller 10 Midwest South 25 – 75 points

 

The Final HeismanPundit Heisman Straw Poll

Player Place Points First Place Votes # of Ballots
Jameis Winston 1 23 7 8
Jordan Lynch 2 8 2 4
Tre Mason 3 7 1 3
Johnny Manziel 3 7 0 4
AJ McCarron 5 6 0 4
Marcus Mariota 6 2 0 1
Derek Carr 6 2 0 1
Andre Williams 8 1 0 1
Bryce Petty 8 1 0 1
Aaron Donald 8 1 0 1
Teddy Bridgewater 8 1 0 1
Shayne Skov 8 1 0 1
Comments { 0 }

Pre-Heisman press conference highlights

photo (42)

The annual pre-Heisman press conference in New York City got a little awkward on Friday afternoon as Florida State handlers temporarily cut off quarterback Jameis Winston from fielding questions after the Heismn favorite received a couple queries related to the aftermath of the investigation into his alleged involvement in a sexual assault case.

When asked about what he had learned from the experience of being accused — but ultimately not charged — with a serious felony, Winston answered “It was stressful, but I’ve got to look forward. There’s a lot to learn from it. I’m focused on the future. I love my college experience.”

Another reporter asked Winston to elaborate and that’s when Seminoles associate sports information director Kerwin Lonzo sternly interjected that “(Winston’s) only talking about football and the Heisman.”

After one more reporter asked a tangential question, Lonzo interrupted again: “Next question,” he said.

The exchange caused some consternation among the assembled media.

To Lonzo’s credit, he brought Winston back to face media again and the freshman did a great job handling the spotlight. About the investigation he said: ”I knew I could respect the process and I’d eventually be vindicated.”

Other than those awkward moments with Winston, the rest of the event went off without a hitch. Here’s five of the six candidates with the Heisman:

photo (43)

Some more highlights:

– When asked about his goals as a two-sport star (he also plays baseball for FSU) Winston said “I want to be better than Bo Jackson, hopefully.”

– Winston got some advice from Johnny Manziel, who also won the award as a redshirt freshman. “He told me to just enjoy the moment. That’s what I’m going to do.”

– Boston College running back Andre Williams had 1,532 rushing yards in his first three seasons and 2,102 yards as a senior. Why the sudden transformation as a senior?

“This year I embraced who I am as a runner,” said Williams. “I played at a heavier weight than in the past. I wasn’t worried about shaking people. I just did what I do best, which is to be a physical, downhill back.”

Tre Mason said that new Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has instilled a never-say-die spirit with the Tigers. “Everyone on the team believes the game isn’t over until it’s over,” Mason said. “You’ve seen the crazy games we’ve had this year. No one quits until the game is over.”

Johnny Manziel wasn’t saying whether he plans to go pro, but he perked up at the idea of playing for either Houston or Dallas. “For now, I’m strictly focused on the bowl game. Things will take care of themselves in Janary,” he said of the NFL. talk. “But I love Texas. Just being in Texas would be incredible.”

– Northern Illinois quarterback Jordan Lynch: “Being here is a dream come true. It’s kind  of surreal. I just know I’m here with the best.” Later, he added: “This is awesome, but I would trade it all to get that MAC championship victory,” referring to his team’s upset at the hands of Bowling Green.

Lynch was confident about his future: “I think my skill will pay off in the NFL. I don’t think I can run the ball 290 times, but I’m sure I could carry it 100 times or so.”

– Alabama quarterback AJ McCarron was not at the press conference since he was not yet in town due to the Unitas Award ceremony. He’ll be here in time for Saturday’s big event.

photo 1

Comments { 0 }

Texas A&M and the Heisman

john david crow

Continuing our series before the Heisman ceremony, here’s a look at the Heisman history of Texas A&M.

Texas A&M

Finalists: John David Crow (1957), Johnny Manziel (2012), Johnny Manziel (2013)

Player Year Position Place Points Winner
John Kimbrough 1940 RB 2nd 841 Tom Harmon
John David Crow 1957 RB 1st 1,183 Crow
Darren Lewis 1990 RB 8th 31 Ty Detmer
Bucky Richardson 1991 QB 10th 45 Desmond Howard
Johnny Manziel 2012 QB 1st 2,029 Manziel

 

The first Aggie to show up in the Heisman vote was running back John Kimbrough, who finished second to Tom Harmon in 1940. There wasn’t another A&M player in the final tally until running back John David Crow won the trophy in 1957 under coach Paul ‘Bear’ Bryant.

Crow was one of the legendary players of the 1950s. He won the trophy despite missing almost three full games that year. He rushed for 562 yards and six touchdowns, caught two passes and threw five touchdown passes. On defense, he had five interceptions. He won the Heisman handily over Alex Karras of Iowa and Walter Kowalczyk of Michigan State. Crow was the only player to win a Heisman for Bryant.

Texas A&M didn’t have a player place in the Heisman vote again until 1990, when tailback Darren Lewis tied for eighth after rushing for 1,795 yards and 20 touchdowns. The next year, dual-threat quarterback Bucky Richardson finished 10th.

No Aggies were a factor in the Heisman again until Johnny Manziel came along. He had a fantastic season as a redshirt freshman, leading A&M to an 11-2 record in their first season in the SEC. He ended the year with over 5,000 yards of total offense and 47 touchdowns. He won the Heisman over Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te’o by winning five of the six voting regions, making history by becoming the first freshman to the award.

Comments { 0 }

How will the Heisman regions fall?

The best way to get an understanding of the how the Heisman vote will look is to do a break down of the six voting regions.

BallotingRegions

 

Each region has 145 media members with a Heisman vote . There are also 57 former Heisman winners who each have a vote and they are scattered across the regions (there is also one fan vote that is done via online voting). The maximum point total a player can receive from a region via media votes only is 435. There are 870 total media points available in each region (ironic, since that is the total number of media who are eligible to vote).

Here’s how I think each region will fall:

SOUTH

1. Winston

2. Mason

3. McCarron

4. Manziel

5. Lynch

Comment: This will be an interesting battle. Mason and McCarron should get the largest chunk of their total support in the South and though he will win his home region, it could be Winston’s smallest margin of victory because of the presence of so many other players based there. Still, look for the FSU quarterback to get in the neighborhood of 300-320 points in the South. I expect Mason to get around 250, McCarron to get around 150 and for Manziel to get about 100.

SOUTHWEST

1. Winston

2. Manziel

3. Bryce Petty

4. Mason

5. McCarron

Comment: This should be Manziel’s strongest region and some support will show up for Bryce Petty of Baylor as well, but Winston should win this region comfortably, with something like 360-380 points.

FAR WEST

1. Winston

2. Lynch

3. Marcus Mariota

4. Derek Carr

5. Ka’Deem Carey

Comment: This is the most mysterious of the regions this year. Winston will win it handily, but the order of the four I have listed below him could be totally off. Keep in mind that this region snakes all the way over to the Dakotas and is generally the least provincial of the regions. However, my thoughts are that since this region is home to the Mountain West and formerly the WAC, a lot of voters could be amenable to a non-BCS candidate like Lynch, not to mention Fresno State’s Derek Carr. I expect Marcus Mariota to do very well among Oregon and Hawaii voters, which should boost his totals, though I would not be surprised if Carr nudged ahead of him. Winston’s total should be in the 380-400 range.

MIDWEST

1. Winston

2. Lynch

3. Braxton Miller

4. Williams

5. Manziel

Comment: This will be Lynch’s strongest region and I expect Braxton Miller to do well among the large contingent of Ohio voters. I have Williams fourth here because he seems to fit the mold of a traditional Big Ten power back, which I think will appeal to some voters. Winston’s total here should be in the 340 – 360 range, with Lynch at 260 – 280.

MID-ATLANTIC

1. Winston

2. Williams

3. Mason

4. McCarron

5. Connor Shaw

Comment: This will be Winston’s strongest region and he should surpass 400 points. Williams is from the region as well so he’ll be a distant second to Winston but well ahead of whoever finishes third. I expect a smattering of votes for Connor Shaw among South Carolina voters.

NORTHEAST

1. Winston

2. Williams

3. Mason

4. McCarron

5. Lynch

Comment: This region rarely has a favorite son to vote for, but things are different this year. Williams will have his strongest finish in the Northeast — somewhere in the 250 point range — though Winston will still win solidly. This region tends to like the late-breaking, trendy candidate so I expect Mason to appear on some ballots, too. Winston’s total points should be in the 340 – 360 range.

Final thoughts: This all points to a healthy landslide for Winston, since based on media votes alone he should top 2,100 points.  The other finalists look like they’ll be hovering in the 400 point range. There is still the matter of the 57 living Heisman winners and how they will vote and I expect Winston will pick up another 120 or so points there (I’ll break down that voter bloc tomorrow).

I’ll have my final point total projections for the race tomorrow as well.

Comments { 0 }